Sunday, August 30, 2015

8/30/15 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

“There is only one thing that makes a dream impossible to achieve: the fear of failure.” – Paulo Coelho

They're running the Grade 3 Torrey Pines Stakes at Del Mar today.  But since it's been placed on the front half of the card, that means that it won't be a part of our play; indeed, there wasn't a single stakes contest in either of our plays this weekend.  Be that as it may, we'll be doing that which you've come to expect, as we take yet another run at the Pick Four at the place where the turf meets the surf.

RACE 7 - OC 80k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 4 The Gomper (Morning Line 4-1)
# 10 Chiropractor (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 6 Fritz Johansen (ML 3-1)
# 8 Peacenluvpeacenluv (ML 12-1)
# 9 Forest Blue (ML 6-1)

C's

None

None of the four Also Eligibles (# 11 Dynamite Ride (ML 12-1); # 12 Rye Patch (ML 15-1); # 13 Fooled Again (ML 20-1); and # 14 Ride Hard Kowboy (ML 20-1)) draw in, so they may be spending the afternoon in the barn playing Bridge.

The Gomper took the Show at this class level last time out despite being steadied early.  Chiropractor took the Place at this class level last time out, earning this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process.  Fritz Johansen is by Unusual Heat, whose progeny tend to do well on this turf course.

Forest Blue disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in two of his last three starts.  But Forest Blue will have blinkers off today, which just might be what he needs to have something in reserve for the stretch drive.  Speaking of taking the blinkers off, Peacenluvpeacenluv earned his first Win in over a year last time out in what was his first career start without the hood.  If he can close today as he did last time out, Peacenluvpeacenluv just may find himself in it at the wire.

RACE 8 - Md $40k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Bellamy Concerto (ML 9-2)
# 11 Sunbeamsfromheaven (ML 7-2)

B's

# 3 Visibility (ML 8-1)
# 6 Blue Anchor (ML 5-1)

C's

None

Bellamy Concerto makes his first start off the claim for Trainer Henry Dominguez after having taken that Place at this class level last time out.  Sunbeamsfromheaven, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, took the Place against more expensive last time out.

Visibility took the Show at this class level last time out.  Visibility may appreciate having to cover less ground, as each of his two prior career Place finishes were at today's distance of six and a half furlongs.  Blue Anchor drops in class after pressing the pace last time out against more expensive in his career debut.  Note also the nice move Blue Anchor made working out over this main track on the 16th, suggesting that he is ready to fire off the five month vacation.

RACE 9 - (F) OC 62k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 9 Long Hot Summer (ML 7-2)

B’s

None

C's

# 1 Royal Temptress (Ire) (ML 9-2)
# 2 Mangita (ML 6-1)
# 5 Shysheisnot (ML 12-1)

None of the four Also Eligibles (# 11 Beat of The Drum (Ire) (ML 5-1); # 12 Majestic Heat (ML 3-1); # 13 Doodetta (ML 10-1); and # 14 Intoxicating Move (No Line)) draw in, so they may be spending the afternoon out on the golf course.

Long Hot Summer took the Place in the Grace 3 Senorita last time out.  Royal Temptress (Ire) has certainly had her chances at this class level; perhaps today will be the day that she hits the wire first.

Mangita took the Show last time out in the Solana Beach Handicap.  Shysheisnot, who finished behind Mangita in the Solana Beach, should improve today with a better trip.

RACE 10 - (F) Md $20k - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 11 Altaria (ML 9-2)
# 12 Kiss My Face (ML 7-2)

B's

# 4 Lynn's Chancie (ML 12-1)
# 8 Divine Tale (ML 5-1)
# 10 Rockin Rhythm (ML 5-1)

C's

None

# 3 Wisconsin Gal (No Line) is a program scratch.

Alatria took the Show against more expensive last time out.  Kiss My Face has the best last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field.  Divine Tale has finished in the Trifecta all four times that she has competed at this class level.  

Rockin Rhythm has taken the Place in each of her two career starts, both at this class level.  Lynn's Chancie did much better without the blinkers in her debut than she did in her second career start with the blinkers on; so the removal of the hood as well as the drop in class may get Lynn's Chancie into the Winner's Circle today.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 4,10 with 4,11 with 9 with 11,12 $8.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 4,6,8,9,10 with 3,4,6,11 with 9 with 4,8,10,11,12 $50.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 4,10 with 4,11 with 1,2,5 with 11,12 $12.00

Total: $70.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:10 EDT / 5:10 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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