RACE 7 - [S] (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Plane Lucky (Morning Line 5-2)
B's
# 1 Sharpest One (ML 5-1)
C's
# 7 Song for Jade (ML 12-1)
# 9 Mc Hottie (ML 8-1)
# 10 Run for Retts (ML 10-1)
Plane Lucky, one of the four experienced runners in this field of two year olds, took the Show after leading the pack for most of the going in her debut last time out, earning this group's best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process. Plane Lucky's trainer, Peter Miller, wins over twenty percent of the time that he sends a maiden out for a second career start.
Sharpest One, who has finished in the money each of the two times that she has competed at this class level, could be speed on the rail today, especially with the addition of blinkers. Song for Jade and Run for Retts are a pair of first time starters from sires (Songandaprayer and Minsters Wild Cat, respectively) whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
Mc Hottie was up on the pace in her debut last time out before being forced to steady; perhaps the rider change today will help her improve off that effort.
RACE 8 - (F) The Del Mar Oaks (Grade 1) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Prize Exhibit (GB) (ML 5-2)
B's
# 4 Sharla Rae (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Majestic Heat (ML 15-1)
# 8 Sunset Glow (ML 3-1)
If Prize Exhibit (GB) repeats the form that she showed in winning the Grade 2 San Clemente last time out or the Grade 3 Senorita two starts back, then she will almost certainly make it three in a row today.
Sharla Rae closed well last time out in the Grade 1 Belmont Oaks, but that could be explained by the fact that she did no running at all in the early going of that one. Perhaps her rider that day, Jockey Joel Rosario, was suspect of Sharla Rae's ability to make ten furlongs. Anyway, the last time Sharla Rae had only nine furlongs to deal with was back in May when she took the Place in the Grade 2 Honeymoon. A repeat of that effort by Sharla Rae just might find her battling with Prize Exhibit at the wire today.
Majestic Heat is taking a huge jump up the class ladder today after defeating OC 80k/N1X company last Sunday over this turf course. But Majestic Heat has shown incredible form in all but one of her career grass starts, and any decedent of Unusual Heat must be respected when stepping onto this turf course.
Count Sunset Glow among those who miss the synthetic surface at this race track. Or maybe Sunset Glow just misses being a juvenile. Anyway, Sunset Glow's three year old form has been that of a horse that's very good, but not quite good enough to win at this level. To compound the problem Sunset Glow prefers to be up on the early lead; should Sunset Glow try to go to the front of the line today, she just may find # 2 Paulina's Love (ML 12-1) already there. Still, Sunset Glow can't be totally ignored here, as a return to her two year old form just might be good enough for her to get her picture taken today.
RACE 9 - OC 40k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Rule He Will (ML 7-2)
# 4 Whine for Wine (ML 5-1)
# 8 Distinctive B (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 5 Allidoisdreamofyou (ML 8-1)
# 6 Unblunted (ML 15-1)
C's
None
# 1 Crimson Giant (ML 30-1) has been scratched. Bring in # 13 Embellishing Bob (ML 10-1) off the Also Eligible List.
Rule He Will wired the field the last time that he competed on a fast dirt track, earning a Beyer Speed Figure in the process that fits well at this class level. In addition, the scratch of Crimson Giant means that Rule He Will will be able to ride the rail today.
Whine for Wine proved to be competitive at this class level before going on the shelf in February. Whine for Wine has been working well for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer leading up to this contest, and should appreciate that the one race "Blinkers On" experiment is over.
Distinctive B had to drop way down into the Md $20k ranks two starts back in order to graduate; but he did so by the length of the grandstand. Last time out Distinctive B ran in an N2L Starter Allowance (and, by the way, don't strain your eyes looking for the N2L designation in the DRF Past Performances, 'cause it ain't there) and was well clear at the wire.
Now, if you're handicapping on class, then you're probably not looking to put Distinctive B on your tickets. And because the victories in his last two starts came at such lower levels, you may also not think much of the Beyer Speed Figures that Distinctive B earned in those two wins, feeling that they must be discounted because Distinctive B was able to wire pretty weak company.
But look at those fractions that Distincitve B set in those two races. Those numbers would fit right in at this class level. Also look at the company lines. The Place horse in that first victory, Soul Crusher, not only won his next time, but also the time after that, crossing the wire over two lengths in front of the rest of the field. Maybe Distinctive B will be exposed as a pretender at this class level; but I'm betting that Distinctive B has the speed to make him live against this field, at what could be a very nice price.
Allidoisdreamofyou had a sharp work over this main track Wednesday, and runners tend to do well when switching to Trainer Ron Ellis' barn. Unblunted took the Place at this class level two starts back, and goes third off the layoff for Trainer Michael McCarthy.
RACE 10 - (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Sweeter Thancandy (ML 6-1)
# 6 Illuminant (ML 7-2)
B's
# 3 Girl Downstairs (ML 12-1)
# 9 Redheads Rule (ML 3-1)
# 10 Artisticdifference (ML 6-1)
C's
# 8 Nashoba's County (ML 8-1)
# 13 Boat Drinks (ML 5-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List. No word as to whether or not Boat Drinks will be spending the afternoon enjoying cocktails out on the yacht.
Sweeter Thancandy closed well at this class level last time out. Illuminant took the Place at this class level in her only prior try on grass.
Girl Downstairs took the Place at this class level two starts back, going around two turns on the flats at Santa Anita. Redheads Rule took the Show at this class level two starts back. Artisticdifference closed well over this turf course in her last start. Nashoba's County, a first time starter sired by Candy Ride (Arg), shows a steady workout pattern over the past two months leading into today's contest.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 6 with 2,4,8 with 2,6 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3 with 4,6 with 2,4,5,6,8 with 2,3,6,9,10 $50.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 7,9,10 with 6 with 2,4,8 with 2,6 $9.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,8 with 2,4,8 with 2,6 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 6 with 2,4,8 with 8 $1.50
Total: $72.50
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:10 EDT / 5:10 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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