Sunday, August 16, 2015

8/16/15 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

Things got pretty wild in U.S. Horse Racing yesterday.  The two coasts saw nearly identical Pick Six carryovers, as today's Saratoga pool will have $97,404 brought into the game from Saturday, while Sunday's Del Mar pool will have $97,933 fed into it from yesterday's proceedings.  Meanwhile, in the middle of the county, The Arlington Million anchored a Pick Five that paid $20,180.15 for a fifty cent wager.  So we'll see today if there'll be order out of all that chaos, as we take yet another run at the Pick Four at the place where the turf meets the surf.

RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A's

# 9 Perfectly Majestic (Morning Line 3-1)

B's

# 2 Somethings Unusual (ML 7-2)

C's

# 7 Dead Easy (ML 12-1)

# 3 Saint Dermot (ML 15-1) and # 8 Lucky Views (ML 4-1) have been scratched.

Perfectly Majestic missed by less than a length at this class level over this turf course last time out.  Somethings Unusual was just a little more than a length back of Perfectly Majestic at the wire in that same contest.  Dead Easy has finished in the Trifecta in four of his five career turf starts, though all five were charging down the Santa Anita hill.

RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Oh Great Idea (ML 2-1)

B's

None

C's

# 10 Where's the D (ML 20-1)

Oh Great Idea took the Place at this class level in her debut last time out.  Note that Trainer Peter Miller wins over twenty percent of the time when sending out a maiden for a second career start.  Where's the D was sired by Blame, whose progeny have been doing rather well in their initial tries.

RACE 9 - [S] (F) The Solana Beach $150k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 Smoove It (ML 5-2)
# 8 Chaulk O Lattey (ML 5-1)

B's

# 4 Journey On (ML 12-1)
# 5 Chati's On Top (ML 7-2)
# 6 Heat Du Jour (ML 6-1)
# 7 Kathleen Rose (ML 6-1)

C's

# 10 She's Flush (ML 20-1)

# 9 Majestic Heat (ML 8-1) ran in The Del Mar Oaks yesterday, and therefore gets to rest today.

Smoove It missed winning the Grade 3 Wilshire by just a nose two starts back.  Chaulk O Lattey has finished in the Trifecta in all five of her career turf stars, the last two coming against open (non-state bred restricted) company.  Note also that all three of Chaulk O Lattey's career wins have come with today's rider, Rafael Bejarano, on her back.

Journey On returns from a nearly twelve month vacation; Trainer Richard Baltas wins with over thirty percent of those coming back from an extended holiday.  Chati's On Top took the Place in the state bred restricted Fran's Valentine last time out.  

Heat Du Jour won this contest last year.  Kathleen Rose missed by just a length of taking the Grade 3 Robert J Frankel two starts back.  She's Flush misses by just a nose of having won her last three turf contests.

RACE 10 - Clm $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 11 No Contingency (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 4 I Will Follow (ML 6-1)
# 12 Sir Barclay (ML 4-1)
# 13 Razorbill (ML 10-1)

C's

# 1 May Weather (ML 20-1)

# 2 Dashing Ash (No Line) and # 14 Znelle (NL) are program scratches.  # 5 Jovita's Tuffy (ML 5-1) has also been scratched.

No Contingency took the Show at this class level last time out, earning this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process.  I Will Follow drops in class after taking the Show against more expensive two starts back.  Sir Barclay took the Place at this class level last time out.  

Razorbill won by daylight the last time he competed over a non-sealed fast dirt track.  May Weather took the Show at this class level two starts back.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 9 with 6 with 2,8 with 11 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,9 with 6 with 2,4,5,6,7,8 with 4,11,12,13 $24.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 7 with 6 with 2,8 with 11 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 9 with 10 with 2,8 with 11 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 9 with 6 with 10 with 11 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 9 with 6 with 2,8 with 1 $1.00

Total: $29.50

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:10 EDT / 5:10 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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