11/14/15 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

Juveniles compete in Saturday's feature race, as they prep for next month's Los Al Futurity, while other juveniles seek their first career win in the finale.  We'll be looking at both those races below, as we take yet another run at The Pick Four at the place where the turf meets the surf.

RACE 6 - (F) Md $62.5k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 4 Arewehavingfunyet (Morning Line 7-2)
# 8 Entebbe (ML 9-2)

B's

# 2 Ya Ya Girl (ML 5-2)
# 3 Sweeter Thancandy (ML 15-1)

C's

# 1 Socialized (ML 4-1)
# 6 Art of War (ML 4-1)

None of the Also Eligibles (# 10 Darling Grace (ML 15-1): # 11 Carnival Lights (ML 3-1); # 12 Bijoux (ML 6-1)) draw in, so they get to spend the afternoon watching the college football games.

Ya Ya Girl has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of her last five races.  Ya Ya Girl has finished in the money at today's class level, at a lower class level, and against more expensive.  Ya Ya Girl is a horse with the proven talent to win who heretofore has shown a decided non-interest in winning.  She goes on the ticket because, again, the talent is most definitely there and today may be the day that the light bulb finally clicks on; but I can't justify making her an "A" Selection.

Arewehavingfunyet just missed graduating last time out by a half length, taking the Show just behind Ya Ya Girl.  Entebbe drops in for a tag for the first time in her career after finishing in the money her last four times out against non-claiming maidens.  Normally that would make Entebbe a lone "A" Selection; but she's adding blinkers today, and Trainer Eric Kruljac doesn't often have success with runners putting on the hood for the first time.

Toss Sweeter Thancandy's last effort, when she was eased in the stretch, and this runner fits with the contenders here, and should outrun her odds today.  Socialized took the Show against more expensive two starts back.  Art of War closed well last time out.

RACE 7 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Grazen Sky (ML 3-1)

B’s

# 7 Brimstoned (ML 5-2)
# 8 Rockport Kat (ML 8-1)

C's

# 4 Dead Easy (ML 12-1)

# 5 Better Bet (ML 12-1) has been scratched.

Grazen Sky has taken the Place each of the last two times that he has competed at this class level.  Brimstoned enters today's contest with a three race winning streak; but this is a pretty good sized step up the class ladder for Brimstoned, and I'm not so sure that I believe those most recent Beyer Speed Figures.

Rockport Kat was a tired horse last time out, but seems to have been working well for this contest.  Dead Easy took the Place at this class level last time out, and could be the one running best late.

RACE 8 - The Bob Hope (Grade 3) - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Toews On Ice (ML 2-1)

B's

None

C’s

# 3 Street Vision (ML 8-1)

Toews On Ice, winner of the Speakeasy last time out, has really moved forward for Trainer Bob Baffert and looks to be best in this field, at least at this time.  Street Vision chased Toews On Ice home in the Speakeasy; perhaps the extra furlong today will allow Street Vision to turn the tables.

RACE 9 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Defrong (ML 7-2)
# 13 Basinca (ML 5-2)

B's

# 3 Eric the Trojan (ML 6-1)
# 4 Watch My Dust (ML 6-1)
# 9 Blue Navy Blue (ML 20-1)
# 10 Cleanup Hitter (ML 6-1)

C's

# 2 Kionntal (ML 9-2)

# 1 Agronomy (ML 5-1), # 6 Triple Clown (ML 8-1), and # 8 Stash of Cash (ML 30-1) have been scratched.  Bring in # 13 Basinca (ML 5-2) and # 14 Hunters Vow (ML 20-1) off the Also Eligible List.

Defrong showed some speed in his debut last time out, despite running greenly.  Basinca took the Place last time out at this class level in his debut.

Eric the Trojan, Blue Navy Blue, and Cleanup Hitter are all first time starters for trainers who tend to do well with debut runners.  Watch My Dust took the Place in his debut at this class level last time out.  Kionntal is a first time starter who has been working well at Santa Anita leading up to this contest.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 4,8 with 6 with 4 with 7,13 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,8 with 6,7,8 with 4 with 3,4,7,9,10,13 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,6 with 6 with 4 with 7,13 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4,8 with 4 with 4 with 7,13 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4,8 with 6 with 3 with 7,13 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4,8 with 6 with 4 with 2 $1.00

Total: $47.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo