Fillies and mares dominate the back end of the card at Del Mar Saturday, with a three turn turf stakes serving as the featured race. And that's pretty much all I have for an introduction, as we take yet another run at the Pick Four at the place where the turf meets the surf.
RACE 6 - (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Whispering Softly (Morning Line 7-2)
# 7 That's a Lady (ML 9-2)
B's
# 9 Sassy Ashley (ML 5-1)
C's
# 5 Deeds Not Words (ML 5-1)
# 10 Blessherheart (ML 20-1)
# 12 Lynne's Legacy (ML 9-2) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List.
That's a Lady, trained by John Sadler, owns the best career Beyer Speed Figure in this field of juveniles; a figure which That's a Lady earned last time out in her debut. Note that runners trained by Sadler tend to do well when making their second attempt at graduating.
Whispering Softly took the Place in her debut at this class level last time out. Sassy Ashley, trained by Richard Baltas, showed some early quickness when she disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out in her debut. Deeds Not Words gets a rider switch to Mike Smith for her second career start. Blessherheart, trained by Phil D'Amato, could improve with the surface switch.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Stealth Drone (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 8 Josephine's Moment (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Stealth Drone took the Place at this class level last time out, earning this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process. Josephine's Moment took the Show against Allowance company last time out on the plastic upstate. Three starts back Josephine's Moment took the Place at this class level over this main track.
RACE 8 - (F) The Red Carpet (Grade 3) - Eleven Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 9 Elektrum (Ire) (ML 3-1)
# 11 Rusty Slipper (ML 5-1)
B's
# 2 Three Hearts (ML 10-1)
# 4 Beat of The Drum (Ire) (ML 12-1)
# 5 Trophee (Fr) (ML 7-2)
C’s
# 6 Star Act (ML 8-1)
# 7 Havana Belle (Ire) (ML 20-1)
# 12 Soresca (Ire) (ML 30-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List.
Elektrum (Ire) seems to have a class edge over the rest of the field. Two starts back Elektrum took the Place in Grade 1 Rodeo Drive; three starts back she won the Grade 2 John C Mabee. Rusty Slipper, trained by Graham Motion, looks to be rounding nicely into form. Three Hearts is the defending champ, having won last year's running of this event.
Beat of The Drum (Ire) looks to be the most likely pace setter; if so, then it'll just be a matter of how far she can lead 'em. Trophee (Fr), trained by Christophe Clement, has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in nearly half of her thirteen starts; but she did win at this distance at Saratoga this past August.
Star Act took the Show at today's distance two starts back in the CTT and TOC Handicap. Havana Belle (Ire), trained by Phil D'Amato, was running well late in her last start and could improve with the added distance.
RACE 9 - Clm $25k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Hadfunlastnight (ML 6-1)
# 3 Caminetto (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Ferocious (ML 6-1)
C's
# 4 Newfound Gold (ML 9-2)
# 7 Apollo Ten (ML 3-1)
Hadfunlastnight has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last three races, and fits in well at this level of competition. The concern with Hadfunlastnight is the extended vacation, as he has not competed since February.
Caminetto, trained by Bob Baffert, is being priced to sell just four months after finishing fourth in the Grade 1 Bing Crosby. Caminetto's works look strong enough to suggest that his poor effort last time out, when he disappointed as the Post Time Favorite against OC 40k/N1X competition, can be tossed.
Ferocious, like Caminetto, is dropping in for the lowest selling price of his career. Newfound Gold and Apollo Ten are a pair that are moving up in class, but whose most recent Beyer Speed Figures fit well at this level of competition.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6,7 with 3 with 9,11 with 2,3 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6,7,9 with 3,8 with 2,4,5,9,11 with 1,2,3 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 3 with 9,11 with 2,3 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 6,7 with 3 with 6,7 with 2,3 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 6,7 with 3 with 9,11 with 4,7 $4.00
Total: $65.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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