The holidays are fast approaching, as today marks the final Sunday before Thanksgiving. Hopefully we can use today to increase our gift giving bankroll, as we take yet another run at the Pick Four at the place where the turf meets the surf.
RACE 6 - (F) Alw 20000s - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Handful (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 4 Light Striker (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Kristinite (ML 5-1)
# 8 West Coast Storm (ML 4-1)
Note for future reference that there are no lifetime Win restrictions on this contest. This race is open to all fillies and mares three years old and up which have started for a claiming price of $20k or less this year. Handfull gets in because her first race of 2015 back on January 3 saw her compete with a $20k price tag on her head. Handfull won that contest, as well as most of her other races this year, all of which have seen her running against much stiffer competition. Handfull appears to do her best running on non-dirt surfaces, but her two-for-three lifetime record on fast dirt tracks suggests that her form should hold today.
Light Striker has won each of her last two starts on a fast dirt track, both with today's rider Mario Gutierrez in the saddle. Kristinite moves up in class, but her most recent Beyer Speed Figures suggest that she fits with the contenders here. West Coast Storm shifts from the turf to the main track; Trainer Richard Baltas gets over twenty percent winners when making that move.
RACE 7 - OC 62k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Yes Yes Yes (ML 9-2)
# 5 Drover Crazy (ML 20-1)
B’s
# 6 King of Jazz (Arg) (ML 6-1)
# 9 Hobbits Hero (ML 7-2)
C's
# 7 Perfectly Majestic (ML 6-1)
# 12 Baccelo (ML 4-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List.
Yes Yes Yes took the Place at this class level last time out. Drover Crazy won at this class level two starts back, albeit on the main dirt track; but Drover Crazy also won at this class level here at Del Mar last year when this main track was synthetic. Since his grandsire is Distorted Humor, there's an excellent chance that Drover Crazy's form will hold on this turf stretch out.
King of Jazz (Arg) was within two lengths of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out. Hobbits Hero moves up the class ladder, but his most recent Beyer Speed Figures suggest that he can compete at this level. Perfectly Majestic is a three year old gelding who may make a forward move today.
RACE 8 - [S] The Cary Grant $100k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Big Macher (ML 8-5)
B's
# 8 Forest Chatter (ML 5-1)
C's
None
# 1 Avanti Bello (No Line) and # 9 Old Man Lake (NL) are program scratches. # 7 Red Outlaw (ML 8-1) and # 11 Richard's Boy (ML 8-1) have also been scratched.
Big Macher, winner of this contest last year when it was held on the synthetic track, gets some huge class relief here. Forest Chatter's work on the 12th suggests that the move off the grass should not present any problems.
RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Lottie (ML 8-5)
B's
# 2 Nodiac (Ire) (ML 7-2)
# 4 Nanybelle (ML 20-1)
# 6 Nikki's Fine Time (ML 6-1)
# 7 Shakti (ML 10-1)
C's
None
# 12 Queen Scheherazade (ML 15-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List.
Lottie took the Place at this class level in her debut for Trainer Graham Motion at Keeneland last time out. Nodiac (Ire) makes her North American debut after taking the Show at Galway last time out in her first career start.
Nanybelle moves to the turf for her second career start; progeny of her sire, Bellamy Road, tend to do well when trying the grass for the first time. Nikki's Fine Time took the Show in her debut at this class level last time out. The one race experiment with blinkers is over for Shakti, and she looks to improve with the hood removed.
OK, that's the analysis. Since the last two races look as if they may turn super chalky, in addition to playing our tickets in Crist fashion, were're also going to put in a ticket with the two big favorites in the finale with all out other selections. So with that, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 9 with 4,5 with 5 with 8 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,9 with 4,5,6,9 with 5,8 with 2,4,6,7,8 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,8 with 4,5 with 5 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 9 with 7 with 5 with 8 $0.50
Big Macher / Lottie with All A, B, and C entries
$0.50 P4: 3,4,8,9 with 4,5,6,7,9 with 5 with 8 $10.00
Total: $54.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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