I hope everyone is enjoying their holiday weekend. They've got a big day of racing scheduled for Saturday at Del Mar, with three Graded Stakes on the card: The Jimmy Durante (for juvenile fillies on the grass); The Hollywood Derby; and The Native Diver. We'll be looking at the latter two below as we take yet another run at the Pick Four at the place where the turf meets the surf.
RACE 6 - [S] OC 20k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Storm Comin Thru (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Toledo Eddie (ML 5-1)
# 6 Roman Tizzy (ML 4-1)
# 7 Tribal Jewel (ML 8-1)
C's
# 1 Sir Barclay (ML 6-1)
# 5 Benba (ML 5-1)
# 3 City State (ML 12-1) has been scratched.
Storm Comin Thru has earned Beyer Speed Figures in each of his last two races that are superior to those which every other entrant in this field has earned over the same span. The concern with Storm Comin Thru is that he has had over a half dozen chances at this level without grabbing the brass ring. So for that reason, it seems prudent to spread in this leg.
Toledo Eddie took the Place against open $25k claimers last time out. Roman Tizzy took the Show behind Storm Comin Thru last time out at this class level. Tribal Jewel makes his first start off the claim for Trainer Peter Miller, who wins with nearly a quarter of such.
Sir Barclay could be speed on the rail. Benba has been competitive at this class level when competing on the grass, and should be up close early.
RACE 7 - The Hollywood Derby (Grade 1) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Om (ML 5-2)
B's
# 2 Sharla Rae (ML 12-1)
# 8 Closing Bell (ML 6-1)
# 12 Royal Albert Hall (GB) (ML 20-1)
# 13 Offering Plan (ML 5-1)
C’s
# 1 Mister Brightside (Ire) (ML 12-1)
# 4 Chiropractor (ML 8-1)
# 3 Vigilante (ML 20-1) has been scratched. Bring in # 15 Acceptance (ML 20-1) off the Also Eligible List.
Om enters this contest with a two race winning streak, having captured the Grade 2 Del Mar Derby and the Grade 2 Twilight Derby. Sharla Rae is the only filly in this field; she is also the only Grade 1 winner in this field. However, it appears that Sharla Rae is currently on a downward slide.
Closing Bell should improve with a return to a firmer surface. Closing Bell will also benefit if he can mange to get a cleaner trip than he has in several of his prior starts.
Royal Albert Hall (GB) has hit the board in every Graded Stakes in which he's competed, excepting The Hill Prince where he obviously did not care for the soft surface. Offering Plan owns this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure. Whether that was a fluke or a sudden maturation remains to be seen.
Mister Brightside (Ire) took the Place behind Om in the Twilight Derby last time out despite a poor start. Chiropractor made a nice move forward last time out, and could be the one running best late.
RACE 8 - The Native Diver (Grade 3) - Nine Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Dortmund (6-5)
B's
None
C’s
# 4 Iron Fist (ML 2-1)
# 7 Imperative (ML 4-1)
# 1 Cat Burglar (ML 12-1) and # 6 Yahilwa (ML 12-1) have been scratched.
Dortmund is undefeated in his career, excepting races in which he competed against Triple Crown winner American Pharoah. Should Dortmund forget to turn left twice, the best of the rest appears to be either Iron Fist early, or Imperative late.
RACE 9 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 What a View (ML 9-2)
# 12 Fritz Johansen (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 1 Somethings Unusual (ML 8-1)
# 6 Hunt (Ire) (ML 7-2)
# 10 Roy H (ML 12-1)
C's
# 9 Unusual Fleet (ML 12-1)
# 3 Follow Me Crev (No Line) is a program scratch. # 14 Rockinatten (ML 10-1) does not drawn in off the Also Eligible List.
What a View and Fritz Johansen took the Place and Show, respectively, last time out in the same contest against straight Allowance company. Somethings Unusual was steadied twice last time out, and should improve with a better trip. Hunt (Ire) gets some class relief after running mid-pack last time out in the Grade 2 Twilight Derby.
Roy H took the Show at this class level last time out. Unusual Fleet could be the one running best late.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 8 with 5 with 3 with 7,12 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,6,7,8 with 2,5,8,12,13 with 3 with 1,6,7,10,12 $50.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,5 with 5 with 3 with 7,12 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 1,4 with 3 with 7,12 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 5 with 4,7 with 7,12 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 5 with 3 with 9 $0.50
Total: $58.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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