Saturday, June 16, 2018

6/16/18 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

The Grade 2 Summertime Oaks is the featured race on the Saturday card in Arcadia; but that contest is not included among the final four events on the program.  What there is instead are a pair on the grass as well as a pair on the dirt, with both dirt races being for non-winners of one.  So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 8 - (F) Clm $20k - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 4 Red Livy (Ire) (Morning Line 2-1)
# 7 Holy Mosey (ML 4-1)

B’s

# 1 Salsita (ML 5-2)

C's

# 8 Madame Mousse (ML 6-1)

Holy Mosey and Red Livy (Ire) filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta charging down the hill last time out.  Salsita fits well at this class level.  Madame Mousse could move up with a cleaner trip.

RACE 9 - [S] Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Old Indian Trick (ML 5-2)

B's

# 7 Iron Curtain (ML 9-2)
# 11 Perfect Wager (ML 3-1)

C's

# 2 Loco Mango (ML 30-1)
# 5 Poise to Strike (ML 12-1)

# 9 Big Barrel (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 10 Git On Your Pulpit (ML 4-1)

Old Indian Trick drops in for a tag after taking the Show versus non-Claiming Maidens in each of his two prior career starts.  Iron Curtain missed graduation by just a neck at this class level last time out, with Perfect Wager taking the Show behind him.

Loco Mango has been working well for his move back to the main track.  Poise to Strike has broken well from the gate in each of his prior two starts.  Big Barrel is a debut runner showing a steady workout pattern leading into this event.

RACE 10 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 4 Halo Darlin (ML 10-1)
# 8 Helen Hillary (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 2 Lightning Dove (ML 4-1)
# 3 My Aunt Tillie (ML 6-1)
# 5 Saburai (ML 15-1)
# 9 Libby's Tail (ML 5-1)
# 11 Speakers (ML 12-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 10 Beautiful Becca (ML 8-1)

Halo Darlin could improve with a return to a more realistic class level.  Helen Hillary took the Place at this class level last time out, and could improve with a cleaner trip.

Lightning Dove fits on class, but looks to be better charging down the hill.  My Aunt Tillie may need more distance to show her best.

Saburai could improve going second off the layoff.  Libby's Tail ran well in her turf debut two starts back, and should be forwardly placed early.  Speakers could move up with the class drop.

RACE 11 - Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Gutsy Effort (ML 3-1)

B's

# 9 Blame Joe (ML 7-2)
# 10 Eleazar Warrior (ML 4-1)

C's

# 1 Masterpiece Day (ML 4-1)
# 3 Calimonco Flyer (ML 50-1)
# 4 Coastal Eddy (ML 20-1)
# 5 Going Away Party (ML 20-1)

# 7 If I Had a Nickel (ML 10-1)
# 8 Let Me Go Amigo (ML 8-1)
# 11 For the Hustle (ML 15-1)
# 12 Royal Seeker (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 6 Thefourfortyfourth (ML 20-1)

Gutsy Effort and Blame Joe are two that could move up with the class drop.  Eleazar Warrior took the Place at this class level last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

And we're over budget.  Well, some days that just can't be helped.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 4,7 with 6 with 4,8 with 2 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,4,7 with 6,7,11 with 2,3,4,5,8,9,11 with 2,9,10 $94.50

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 8 with 6 with 4,8 with 2 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 4,7 with 2,5,9 with 4,8 with 2 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 4,7 with 6 with 4,8 with 1,3,4,5,7,8,11,12 $16.00

Total: $121.50

Post Time for Race 8 is 7:22 EDT / 4:22 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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