Sunday, June 24, 2018

6/24/18 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

And so we make it to the final day of the Half a Year Meet in Arcadia, with a very fine card and a very fine featured race in the form of the Grade 3 Whilshire.  So let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 8 - (F) [S] MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Coco Kisses (Morning Line 3-1)

B's

# 2 Chasin Lucas (ML 5-2)

C's

# 3 Sunrise Royale (ML 6-1)
# 5 Thalia (ML 4-1)

# 7 Whoa Nessie (ML 8-1)

Coco Kisses has twice taken the Place at this class level in her four race career, and should benefit nicely from the return to one turn racing.  Chasin Lucas took the Place in her debut at this class level last time out.

Sunrise Royale closed well enough in her debut last time out to warrant consideration even with the class jump.  Thalia didn't show much in her debut on the turf last time out; perhaps things will change with the move to the main track.  Whoa Nessie took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit while charging down the Santa Anita hill.

RACE 9 - (F) The Wilshire (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A's

# 9 Ancient Secret (ML 7-2)

B's

# 1 Beau Recall (Ire) (ML 7-2)
# 5 Sophie (GB) (ML 3-1)

C's

# 2 Sassy Little Lila (ML 6-1)
# 6 Cordiality (ML 6-1)


Beau Recall (Ire) and Sophie (GB) have taken turfs defeating each other in Graded Stakes over the past couple of months.  Ancient Secret has shown steady improvement in each of her 2018 starts, and should hold her form switching to the flats.

Sassy Little Lila should be forwardly early, and could improve off the freshening.  Cordiality should also show early foot and could wire the field if she gets clear.

RACE 10 - OC 62.5k/N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Best Two Minutes (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 1 River Echo (GB) (ML 4-1)
# 3 Desert Law (ML 6-1)
# 7 K Thirty Eight (ML 15-1)

C's

# 4 So Conflated (ML 6-1)
# 5 Aristocratic (ML 3-1)

Scratch # 6 Adens Dream (ML 4-1)

Best Two Minutes goes first off the claim for Trainer Richard Baltas, who tends to do well with such.  River Echo (GB) took the Show at this class level last time out, and could benefit from the cutback in real estate.

Desert Law took the Place at this class level last time out.  K Thirty Eight might benefit from the class drop.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 11 - OC 62.5k/N2X - Ten Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 5 Beach View (ML 7-2)
# 7 Ritzy A. P. (ML 5-1)

B’s

# 1 Ann Arbor Eddie (ML 6-1)
# 6 Oscar Dominguez (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 8 Acker (ML 6-1)
# 9 Play Hard to Get (ML 15-1)

C's

# 2 Unapologetic (ML 4-1)
# 3 Ya Gotta Wanna (ML 8-1)

# 4 Taniko (ML 20-1)
# 10 Voador Magee (Brz) (ML 12-1)

Beach View and Ritzy A. P. were a neck apart at the wire while filling out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last month.  Ann Arbor Eddie has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two contests.

Oscar Dominguez (Ire) goes second off the claim for Trainer Jack Carava, who tends to do well with such.  Acker goes third off the layoff for Trainer Peter Miller, who tends to do well with such.  Play Hard to Get won at this class level earlier this meet.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6 with 9 with 2 with 5,7 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,6 with 1,5,9 with 1,2,3,7 with 1,5,6,7,8,9 $72.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 3,5,7 with 9 with 2 with 5,7 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2,6 with 2 with 5,7 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 9 with 4,5 with 5,7 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 9 with 2 with 2,3,4,10 $2.00

Total: $83.00

Post Time for Race 8 is 7:20 EDT / 4:20 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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