It's Day 2 of The Belmont Stakes Racing Festival in New York, and the good people at NYRA have blessed us with an incredible selection of stakes on both Friday and Saturday; indeed, it's virtually a mid-year Breeders' Cup. So pick and choose your plays over the next two days, finding the spots where you think that your opinions are the strongest. As for me, I'll be taking my customary look Friday at the final four offerings on the card, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at Beautiful Belmont Park.
RACE 8 - The True North (Grade 2) - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Imperial Hint (Morning Line 9-2)
B's
# 4 Bobby Abu Dhabi (ML 5-2)
# 8 Whitmore (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Recruiting Ready (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Joking (ML 6-1) and # 5 Limousine Liberal (ML 7-2)
Imperial Hint could improve with the return to a drier surface, and has shown in the past that he doesn't need the lead to win. Bobby Abu Dhabi and Whitmore appear to be the two best suited to taking advantage of any pace meltdown. Recruiting Ready could be dangerous with a repeat of his performance last time out; but Recruiting Ready seems to do his best running on an off track.
RACE 9 - (F) The New York (Grade 2) - Ten Furlongs Inner Turf
A’s
# 5 Sistercharlie (Ire) (ML 9-5)
B's
# 2 Holy Helena (ML 6-1)
# 8 Fourstar Crook (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Fahan Mura (ML 12-1)
# 6 Daddys Lil Darling (ML 4-1)
# 9 Moms On Strike (ML 5-1)
Sistercharlie (Ire) and Fourstar Crook filled out the Exacta in the Grade 1 Jenny Wiley last time out. Holy Helena has done nothing wrong since being put on the lawn.
Fahan Mura's speed on the rail could serve her well on this inner turf course. Moms On Strike and Daddys Lil Darling filled out the Exacta in the Grade 3 Bewitch last time out, and both are eligible to improve with the cutback in distance.
RACE 10 - The Belmont Gold Cup (Grade 2) - Sixteen Furlongs Widener Turf
A’s
# 1 Call To Mind (GB) (ML 7-2)
B's
# 3 Prince of Arran (GB) (ML 12-1)
# 4 Funny Kid (ML 5-1)
# 5 Canessar (Fr) (ML 6-1)
# 6 Nessy (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Cooptado (Arg) (ML 30-1)
# 8 Postulation (ML 10-1)
# 10 Rocketry (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 7 Run Time (ML 15-1) and # 9 Focus Group (ML 10-1)
Call To Mind (GB), owned and bred by Her Majesty The Queen (God bless her), finished third last month in the Group 2 Yorkshire Cup, and should have no problem with today's distance. Prince of Arran (GB) could move up with the cutback in distance, and how often am I ever going to get the chance to note that a runner going two miles is cutting back in distance?
Funny Kid seems too slow; but he keeps winning, so I can't knock him off the big ticket. Canessar (Fr) could win with a return to last year's form. Nessy may enjoy the increase in real estate. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 11 - MSW - Eleven Furlongs Inner Turf
A’s
# 2 Mathematician (ML 7-2)
B's
# 3 Wicked Trick (ML 8-1)
# 5 Into the Breach (ML 4-1)
# 8 Steeles Run (ML 9-2)
C's
# 4 Shiloh Lane (ML 30-1)
# 7 Captain Hardship (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 11 Fleet Admiral (ML 50-1) and # 12 Electro (ML 30-1)
Mathematician, Wicked Trick, and Into the Breach have consistently finished in the Trifecta at this class level. Steeles Run took the Place at this class level while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite in his debut last time out. Shiloh Lane and Captain Hardship both have the breeding to suggest that they will do well at Friday's distance.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 5 with 1 with 2 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,4,8 with 2,5,8 with 1,3,4,5,6 with 2,3,5,8 $90.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1 with 5 with 1 with 2 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,6,9 with 1 with 2 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 5 with 2,8,10 with 2 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 5 with 1 with 4,7 $1.00
Total: $95.50
Post Time for Race 8 is 4:42 EDT / 1:42 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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