Sunday, June 17, 2018

6/17/18 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

“My father taught me that the only way you can make good at anything is to practice, and then practice some more.” - Pete Rose

Happy Fathers Day one and all!  Here's wishing all the dads out there nothing but the best on this third Sunday in June.  And hopefully some of that best will involve catching some well priced winners in Arcadia this afternoon.  So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 7 - (F) Clm $6.25k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Southern Treasure (Morning Line 4-1)

B’s

# 2 Peaked (ML 9-5)

C's

# 5 Tuscany Beauty (ML 7-2)
# 7 She'sluckythatway (ML 20-1)

# 8 Lookinforadanger (ML 5-1)

Southern Treasure has won at this class level in two of her last four starts.  Peaked tries real dirt for the first time, after taking the Place while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite in each of her two most recent starts on the synthetic.

Tuscany Beauty took the Show against more expensive stock two starts back.  She'sluckythatway certainly runs fast in the morning; perhaps today She'sluckythatway will run fast in the afternoon.  Lookinforadanger might improve with the move to one turn racing.

RACE 8 - The Siren Lure $80k - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 2 Tiz a Billy (ML 8-1)

B's

# 1 Double Touch (GB) (ML 6-1)
# 6 B Squared (ML 4-1)
# 7 Bombard (ML 7-2)

C's

# 9 Anatonlian Heat (ML 4-1)
# 10 Mongolian Shopper (ML 20-1)
# 11 Cistron (ML 5-1)


Tiz a Billy, making his 2018 debut, has finished in the Exacta five of the six times that he has charged down the Santa Anita hill.  Double Touch (GB) got to the line about a half length in front of B Squared the only prior time that Double Touch charged down the hill.

B Squared misses by just a head of entering this contest with two consecutive stakes wins, albeit of the state bred only variety.  Bombard, Show finisher behind Tiz a Billy two starts back, ran well while winning last time out, and could turn the tables on that rival.  Anatonlian Heat and Cistron filled out the Exacta while charging down the hill last time out.  Mongolian Shopper should be forwardly placed early.

RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 8 Baby Ice (ML 12-1)

B's

# 1 Summer's Indy (ML 7-2)
# 2 Varanasi (ML 5-2)
# 3 Angelic (ML 8-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 6 The Innocent One (ML 6-1)

Baby Ice showed good early speed in her debut last time out, and may benefit from having to cover less real estate today.  Summer's Indy could move up with the return to the main track.  Varanasi broke well in her debut last Summer, and Trainer Richard Mandella tends to do well with those returning from an extended leave.  Angelic is making her second career start for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, who tends to do well with such.

RACE 10 - (F) Clm $25k N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 3 Neon Gypsy (ML 5-1)

B’s

# 1 Lady Beware (Ire) (ML 12-1)
# 2 Mo See Cal (ML 5-1)
# 4 Khaleesi (Brz) (ML 7-2)

C's

# 6 Red Shelby (ML 3-1)
# 7 Awesomtastic (ML 4-1)
# 9 Tiffany Diamond (ML 12-1)
# 11 Willows Babe (ML 12-1)


Scratch the Also Eligibles, # 12 Lethal Legacy (ML 8-1) and # 13 Looking At Thelake (ML 4-1)

Neon Gypsy took the Show against more expensive stock two starts back.  Lady Beware (Ire) looks to be the one that will be running best late.  Mo See Cal is dropping in for a tag for the first time.  Khaleesi (Brz) is getting some much needed class relief.

Red Shelby should be forwardly placed early.  Awesometastic and Willows Babe are two trying the turf for the first time.  Both are trained by Richard Baltas, who tends to do well with runners making their first attempt on the grass.  Tiffany Diamond should move up with the return to the turf.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3 with 2 with 8 with 3 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,3 with 1,2,6,7 with 1,2,3,8 with 1,2,3,4 $64.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 5,7,8 with 2 with 8 with 3 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 9,10,11 with 8 with 3 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2 with 8 with 6,7,9,11 $2.00

Total: $70.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 6:48 EDT / 3:48 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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