Saturday, January 14, 2017

1/14/17 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

The Grade 2 La Canada, which drew a field of Vale Dori plus four others, is Saturday's featured race at Santa Anita.  However, we won't be looking at that event; instead, we'll be examining the final four contests on the card, three of which have been written for lifetime non-winners of one.  So let's get to it, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 6 - (F) MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

EDIT: THIS RACE HAS BEEN MOVED TO THE MAIN DIRT TRACK

A’s

# 1 Goseecal (Morning Line 6-1)
# 2 True Testament (ML 3-1)

B's

# 3 Ghostzapping (ML 8-1)
# 5 Another One (ML 4-1)
# 13 Mistressofthenight (ML 5-1)

C's

# 10 Beauty Divine (ML 15-1)
# 14 Salten Sapity (ML 4-1)

Scratch # 4 Diva La Mousse (ML 9-2); # 6 Arrowsphere (ML 12-1); # 7 Go Argento (ML 6-1); # 8 Majestic Vixen (ML 12-1); # 9 Of Note (ML 15-1); # 11 Fried Egg (ML 30-1); and # 12 Siberian Iris (Ire).

As I type this there's been no official announcement; but the large number of scratches leads me to believe that this contest will not be run on the downhill turf course; and based upon the large number of scratches in Race 1 (the only other contest carded for the grass Saturday) I'm going to presume that this one is going to be run over the main dirt track.  EDIT - And now it's official; this race will be run over the main dirt track.

Goseecal was within a length of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out.  Goseecal could benefit from the cutback in distance to one turn racing.  True Testament has taken the Place at this class level in three of her four lifetime starts, all at this class level.

Ghostzapping is a first time starter for trainer Phil D'Amato.  While Ghostzapping's works haven't been sparkling, they have been steady.  Another One ran well in her debut last time out once she figured out that there was a race going on and that she was in it.

Mistressofthenight took the Show at this class level in her only prior try going around just one turn.  Beauty Divine is a first time starter who's on the ticket because everyone else in this field is.  Salten Sapity has posted some good works over the off track here.  If the track hasn't dried out too much, Salten Sapity could move up today.

RACE 7 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Lord Simba (ML 5-2)

B's

# 1 Street to Indy (ML 10-1)
# 4 Valiant Minister (ML 3-1)
# 6 Gato Dolce (ML 4-1)
# 7 Hitters Park (ML 3-1)

C's

# 2 Aces Wild (ML 6-1)
# 3 Southern Keys (ML 12-1)

Lord Simba, trained by Bob Baffert, has taken the Place at this class level in each of his two prior career starts.  Street to Indy took the Place at this class level the last time that he only had to go around one turn.  Valieant Minister is a first time starter with the identical owner and trainer as Lord Simba.

Gato Dolce took the Place at this class level last time out; though last time out was over a year ago.  Hitters Park is a first time starter out of a Defrere mare who seems to enjoy dropping winners.

Aces Wild is on the card because everyone else in this field is.  Southern Keys showed some late interest in his debut on the synthetic upstate last time out.  Southern Keys had a couple of sharp works over this main track last month.

RACE 8 - Clm $50k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Crosscheck Carlos (ML 2-1)

B’s

None

C's

# 1 Tipo Duro (ML 4-1)
# 4 The All Button (ML 5-2)


Crosscheck Carlos missed victory by just a neck against classier stock last time out, albeit on the turf.  Tipo Duro cuts returns to one turn racing as well as getting some class relief.  The All Button has finished in the Trifecta all three times that he has competed over this main track; but The All Button seems to be a needs-to-lead type; and I'm not so sure that The All Button is getting that early lead today.

RACE 9 - Md $30k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Quiet Dude (ML 9-5)
# 9 We Go Now (ML 5-2)

B's

None

C's

# 4 Thirty Pepperonis (ML 8-1)
# 6 Soft Trip (ML 30-1)

Scratch # 5 Baroque (ML 4-1)

Quiet Dude took the Place at this class level last time out.  We Go Now missed graduation by less than a length at this class level last time out.

Thirty Pepperonis took the Show at this class level over this main track back in October.  Thirty Pepperonis could contend today if he can be enticed into getting involved in the early going.  Soft Trip could move up getting Lasix for the first time.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1,2 with 5 with 3 with 2,9 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,5,13 with 1,4,5,6,7 with 3 with 2,9 $25.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 10,14 with 5 with 3 with 2,9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1,2 with 2,3 with 3 with 2,9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 1,2 with 5 with 1,4 with 2,9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 1,2 with 5 with 3 with 4,6 $2.00

Total: $41.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EST / 3:00 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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