Saturday, January 28, 2017

1/28/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Preview

Arrogate and California Chrome, the two best horses currently in training, are having their Breeders' Cup rematch Saturday at Gulfstream Park, as part of a monster card centered around the inaugural running of The Pegasus World Cup.  Meanwhile, Santa Anita, where the rain has finally stopped and the sunshine has returned, is having, appropriately enough, their version of The Sunshine Millions, with several California Cup Stakes.

So with all that, why are we playing Golden Gate, where two thirds of the Pick Six sequence is for lifetime non-winners of one? Well, my thinking is that last week playing Golden Gate we found ourselves on the side of Providence; so why not see if we can find ourselves there once again.  So for this weekend our action will be in Northern California, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 4 - Md $8k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Italian Fling (Morning Line 7-5)

B's

# 5 Cosmo's Sunset (ML 7-2)

C's

# 2 Thirty Pepperonis (ML 2-1)

Scratch # 3 Money Mine (ML 15-1)

Races 4 and 7 are two divisions of the same contest, both carded for three year olds.  Italian Fling should improve with the increase in real estate.  Italian Fling will almost definitely be leading the field early, and quite probably late.

Cosmo's Sunset flashed some early speed in his debut last time out.  Thirty Pepperonis ships in from down state and should benefit from the class relief; provided, of course, that he takes to the surface.

RACE 5 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Positive Outcome (ML 2-1)
# 4 Hopesky (ML 9-5)

B's

None

C's

# 3 Starting Lineup (ML 3-1)
# 5 Mookie's Wish (ML 6-1)

Positive Outcome and Hopesky each disappointed at this class level (in separate contests) as the Post Time Favorite; however, it's fair to say of each that they both needed their respective last race.  Likewise for Mookie's Wish, who took the Place last time out against cheaper stock in his first contest after a year and a half vacation.  Starting Lineup fits well with these on class, though it appears that Starting Lineup is better suited to shorter distances.

RACE 6 - OC 62k/N2X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Mal Verde (ML 5-2)
# 5 Allaboutaction (ML 4-1)

B’s

# 2 Top Pirana (ML 2-1)
# 3 Hypnatique (ML 8-1
# 4 Pure Comedy (ML 12-1)
# 6 Awesome Silver (ML 3-1)

C's

None

The entire field of six for this contest comes out of the same last race, where five of them were within a length of each other as they crossed under the wire.  Mal Verde and Allaboutaction seem to me to be the ones most likely to move forward off that effort; but, really, this is a group of runners that seem to just enjoy taking turns beating each other.

RACE 7 - Md $8k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 River of Champagne (ML 1-1)

B's

None

C's

# 4 Loma Cat (ML 5-2)
# 5 Hubel Heights (ML 20-1)
# 7 Sierra Sierra (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 2 Chatty Carl (ML 10-1)

Races 4 and 7 are two divisions of the same contest, both carded for three year olds.  River of Champagne disappointed as the Post Time Favorite at this class level last time out, when he had to settle for the Place, a little over two lengths in front of Show horse Loma Cat.

Hubel Heights is a first time starter by Swiss Yodeler, whose progeny tend to do reasonably well at first asking.  Sierra Sierra flashed brief early foot in his debut last time out.

RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 4 Redneck Girl (ML 8-1)
# 7 Matter of Luck (ML 6-1)

B's

# 3 Breakaway Dixie (ML 8-1)

C's

# 2 Kelly (ML 8-1)
# 5 Emmy and I (ML 5-1)
# 8 Run for Retts (ML 7-2)
# 9 Meet Miss Kitty (ML 4-1)

Redneck Girl won at this class level last time out; thanks to being a California bred, she gets to compete under these conditions again, though she has to carry some extra weight.  Matter of Luck returns after a bit of a freshening; Matter of Luck seems to do well when she has a chance to get some rest.

Breakaway Dixie took the Show at this class level last time out.  Kelly moves up in class after winning for the third time in her last five starts.  Emmy and I fits at this class level, but seems to have become camera shy.

Run for Retts ships in from downstate to try the synthetic surface for the first time (though she did work over this main track back on the 22nd).  Meet Miss Kitty has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last three starts.

RACE 9 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 7 White Falcon (ML 5-1)

B's

# 1 Gallant Heat (ML 9-2)
# 8 Iz Invincible (ML 4-1)

C's

# 4 Passed by Paul (ML 3-1)
# 5 Whisky N Roses (ML 6-1)
# 9 Pambled (ML 8-1)

White Falcon has finished in the Trifecta at this class level since entering into two turn racing.  Gallant Heat took the Place at this class level two starts back, and could be speed on the rail.  Iz Invincible took the Show at this class level last time out.

Passed by Paul ships in from downstate for Trainer Doug O'Neill, who has been having success doing that with runners of late.  Whisky N Roses tries the synthetic track for the first time.  Pambled took the Show at this class level in his debut last time out, albeit while going around just one turn.

OK, that's the analysis.  While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket.  While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected.  I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up.  So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 4 with 1,4 with 1,5 with 1 with 4,7 with 7 $8.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 4,5 with 1,4 with ALL with 1 with 3,4,7 with 1,7,8 $43.20

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 2 with 1,4 with 1,5 with 1 with 4,7 with 7 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 4 with 3,5 with 1,5 with 1 with 4,7 with 7 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 4 with 1,4 with 1,5 with 4,5,7 with 4,7 with 7 $4.80
$0.20 P6: 4 with 1,4 with 1,5 with 1 with 2,5,8,9 with 7 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 4 with 1,4 with 1,5 with 1 with 4,7 with 4,5,9 $4.80

Total: $67.20

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:08 EDT / 2:08 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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