Monday, January 16, 2017

1/16/17 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

“Intelligence plus character; that is the goal of true education.” - Martin Luther King Jr.

And so we come to the final day of our holiday weekend, and Monday's card finds us gifted with the featured race as one of the final four contests on the program.  We'll be looking at that event, the Grade 3 Megahertz, below, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 7 - (F) The Megahertz (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 6 Tiz a Kiss (Morning Line 2-1)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Do the Dance (ML 6-1)
# 2 Prize Exhibit (GB) (ML 5-2)
# 5 Kenriya (Fr) (ML 5-1)
# 7 Into The Mystic (Ire) (ML 7-2)

Tiz a Kiss took the Place in the Grade 2 Goldikova over this turf course two starts back.  Do the Dance enters this contest with a two race winning streak, albeit against lesser company.  Do the Dance's best chance seems to be to sprint out on the rail and try to steal this one on the front end.

Prize Exhibit (GB) holds a huge class edge over most of this field, but it's been quite some time since she's shown her best form.  Kenriya (Fr) and Into The Mystic (Ire) have both won multiple Allowance races in France, and both seem well meant for this contest.

RACE 8 - (F) Md $40k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Aura Rose (ML 4-1)

B's

# 7 Sly Humor (ML 7-2)
# 9 Singleforareason (ML 3-1)

C's

# 6 Her Big Moment (ML 20-1)
# 8 Fried Egg (ML 20-1)
# 11 Munny Spunt (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 1 Tattooed Kitty (No Line)

Aura Rose took the Place against more expensive stock two starts back.  Sly Humor moves a step up the class ladder after taking the Place last time out, finishing well in front of the Show horse in that contest.

Singleforareason has shown good early speed in her three prior tries, all against non-claiming maidens.  Her Big Moment, Fried Egg, and Munny Spunt are a trio of fillies all dropping in for a tag for the first time.

RACE 9 - (F) Clm $8k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Sooner Time (ML 6-1)
# 4 Public House (ML 6-1)

B’s

# 1 Private Terrace (ML 8-1)
# 5 Frandontjudge (ML 4-1)
# 6 Papaslilprincess (ML 4-1)

C's

None

Public House and Sooner Time crossed the wire just a head apart last time out over this main track while filling out the Exacta against slightly more expensive.  Private Terrace filled out the Trifecta in that contest, as well as completing the Trifecta behind Papaslilprincess and Frandontjudge in the outing prior to that.  In my opinion you can throw a blanket over those five; I'm expecting them all to be close at the wire.

RACE 10 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 8 Avalanche (ML 4-1)

B's

# 2 Kona Dreams (ML 7-2)
# 3 Kimbear (ML 4-1)
# 9 Calle Kingpin (ML 12-1)
# 12 Magical More (ML 20-1)
# 13 Cut (ML 5-1)

C's

# 11 Electro (ML 5-1)

Scratch # 10 Bourbonmademedoit (ML 20-1) and # 14 Eaglemaker (ML 8-1)

Avalanche missed graduation by less than a length in his debut charging down the hill at this class level two starts back.  Kona Dreams has twice finished in the Trifecta at this class level while showing good early speed routing on the flat turf course.  Kimbear has demonstrated the ability to lead ans to close in his brief four race career.

Calle Kingping took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit on the dirt.  However,  Calle Kingpin was sired by Street Boss, whose progeny tend to do well well trying the lawn for the first time.

Magical More is a first time starter sired by More Than Ready, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.  Cut has shown good early foot in his two starts routing on the flat turf course.  Electro is a first time starter sired by Ghostzapper and trained by Bob Baffert.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6 with 5 with 3,4 with 8 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 6 with 5,7,9 with 1,3,4,5,6 with 2,3,8,9,12,13 $45.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,2,5,7 with 5 with 3,4 with 8 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 6,8,11 with 3,4 with 8 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 5 with 3,4 with 11 $1.00

Total: $55.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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