Our Late Pick Four takes a step up the class ladder today; for while three of the final four races at Santa Anita Saturday were carded for maidens, seventy-five percent of Sunday's final four contests have been written for lifetime non-winners of two. So with the conditions set let's get to it, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Wrightwood (Morning Line 4-1)
# 7 Devils Triangle (ML 12-1)
B's
# 1 Oh Marvelous Me (ML 5-2)
# 2 Gone With It (ML 4-1)
# 4 Mimis Big Boy (ML 5-1)
# 5 Unbridled Rocket (ML 9-2)
# 6 Bronzino (Fr) (ML 9-2)
C's
None
We're punching the "ALL" button here as far as our big ticket goes; though this contest isn't really "competitive" in the normal usage of the word. The problem here is that there are several in this field who should have multiple career victories but do not, primarily because, while they have the talent to lead the field, they simple refuse to be the one in front at the wire.
Chief among them is Wrightwood, who has won over $100k in his career primarily by filling our the Exactor and Trifecta; but there are others here, such as Gone With It and Unbridled Rocket, who have chosen the same career path, though without that much in earnings. And runners that make a career out of filling out Exacta and Trifectas aren't a bad thing for their connections, who can keep using these N2L races like an ATM, taking home the minor awards without ever having to concern themselves with swimming in a deeper pool.
But such horses can be headaches for those of us trying to fill out multi-race tickets, especially should you find more than one in the same field; for while they all wish to hang at the wire, one of them is going to be the one that hangs the least, and finds himself getting his picture taken. And that's how I see this contest. If Wrightwood finds himself in the shadow of the wire accompanied by Gone With It and Unbridled Rocket, well one of them has to Win; but if the opposition near the end is one of the more lightly raced runners, like Oh Marvelous Me or Devils Triangle, look for the ones that haven't yet learned how to consistently lose to take the top prize. So for that reason, it's everybody into the pool for this leg on our big ticket.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 32k N1X/Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Perfect Cocktail (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 6 It's Not So Easy (ML 4-1)
C's
# 3 Rcatcanscat (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 4 Road Test (ML 8-1)
A bit of imaginative carding by the racing secretary of combining two conditions into one race. For the record, these are all three year olds. The Starter Allowance price (that is, the lowest claiming price a runner would have had to have been previously entered in order to qualify for entry here) goes up to $50k for California breds. None here have more than one lifetime Win. None in this field are in for a tag, excepting # 5 Lilac Street (ML 12-1); which, near as I can tell, is not because these conditions required her to be for sale, but rather because her connections have opted to allow others the option to purchase her today.
Perfect Cocktail finished in the Trifecta at this approximate class level two and three starts back, and can be forgiven for not being quick enough to handle one turn racing last time out. It's Not So Easy took the Place at this approximate class level last time out. Rcatcanscat could move up in her first try stretching out to two turns.
RACE 8 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Foolish to Deceive (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 6 Elegant Street (ML 2-1)
C's
# 5 Vodka Texted You (ML 4-1)
# 7 Above Board (ML 5-2)
Foolish to Deceive missed victory by less than a length at this class level last time out. Elegant Street took a big step forward in his graduation last time out; the question is can he repeat that effort against winners? Likewise to a lesser extent for Vodka Texted You, who is also trying winners for the first time. Above Board could improve in this, his third go after a freshening; but it's a concern that Above Board hasn't finished better than sixth since being claimed away from the barn of Trainer Bob Baffert.
RACE 9 - Clm $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Spanish Hombre (ML 8-1)
# 5 Boldly True (ML 4-1)
B's
# 8 Iron Rob (ML 6-1)
# 9 Annie's Candy (ML 3-1)
C's
# 3 Basinca (ML 5-1)
# 10 Westbrook (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 2 G. A. Betting (ML 15-1) and # 6 Jes Jaa (ML 15-1)
Spanish Hombre took the Show against classier stock two starts back. Boldly True took the Show at this class level two starts back. Iron Rob is a listed stakes winner running for the first time with a price tag on his head. Annie's Candy defeated classier stock last time out, albeit on the lawn.
Basinca goes first off the claim for Trainer Robertino Diodoro, who tends to do well with such. Westbrook drops in for a tag for the first time in his career.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3,7 with 7 with 4 with 4,5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: ALL with 6,7 with 4,6 with 4,5,8,9 $56.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 3 with 4 with 4,5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 7 with 5,7 with 4,5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 7 with 4 with 3,10 $2.00
Total: $68.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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