Sunday, January 22, 2017

1/22/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Preview

Well of course we're playing Golden Gate again today; we have to try to get our money back from yesterday!  😎 So with that let's get to it, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 4 - Clm $6.25k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Cap Ferrat (Morning Line 4-1)
# 4 One More Roll (ML 9-5)

B's

# 6 Kronwall (ML 5-2)

C's

None

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since November 1, 2016; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race.  If a horse has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have been since 11/1/2016 in order for the horse to be entered here.  For the record, Condiment and Cap Ferrat are the only two runners here that have four or more career victories.

Cap Ferrat gets some class relief after failing as the Post Time Favorite against more expensive stock in three of his last four contests.  One More Roll fits the same pattern, having failed as the Post Time Favorite against more expensive in two of his last three races.  Kronwall moves up in price after taking the Place last time out; but that contest featured open (non-conditioned) claimers, so I would say that this is at worst a lateral move on the class ladder for Kronwall.

RACE 5 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Maz Kanata (ML 9-5)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Happy Issue (ML 9-2)
# 2 Cheers to You (ML 7-2)

Scratch # 6 Lucky N Rich (ML 2-1)

Note for the record that I added the N2L to reflect the actual records of entrants.  I don't know if that was a part of the actual conditions and simply left off when the Past Performances were printed; but each of the runners in this field of three year old fillies has exactly one career victory.

With the scratch of Lucky N Rich, Maz Kantana should have things all her own way in the early going, and probably right up to and past the wire.  If Maz Kantana is to be caught late, Happy Issue and Cheers to You appear to be the ones most likely to be running best at the end.

RACE 6 - (F) Clm $4k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Call My Bluff (ML 3-1)

B's

# 3 Sexy Code (ML 8-1)
# 6 Esperanza's Mobile (ML 6-1)
# 8 She'll Get'er Done (ML 6-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 5 Skeeter Davis (No Line)

Call My Bluff missed by less than a length at this class level last time out.  Sexy Code finished much closer to the rear in that same contest, but Sexy Code was the victim of a very rough ride.

Esperanza's Mobile appears to be still working her way back from an extended layoff; but despite this not being her ideal distance, Esperanza's Mobile's back class makes her a threat to upset the field here.  She'll Get're Done may move up going second off the layoff.

RACE 7 - (F) Md $12.5k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 8 Stormy Endeavor (ML 6-5)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Lady Chardonnay (ML 12-1)
# 3 Keihl Crissia (ML 8-1)
# 5 Cocktail Lady (ML 15-1)

# 7 Mean Like My Momma (ML 20-1)
# 9 Seneca Sally (ML 10-1)

Stormy Endeavor returns to one turn racing on the synthetic, where she has twice taken the Place against more expensive stock.  Keihl Crissia made a nice move forward last time out with the class drop and the addition of blinkers; perhaps Keihl Crissia can move forward off that effort.

Lady Chardonnay, Cocktail Lady, and Mean Like My Momma are the three first time starters in this field.  Seneca Sally puts the blinkers back on after competing in her last four races without them.  There doesn't appear to be much early speed here; so if one of these four should show some early foot and break free from the pack, they just might steal this on one the front end.

RACE 8 - OC 62k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Rye Patch (ML 3-1)
# 7 Unusual Taste (ML 7-2)
# 8 Unusually Green (ML 10-1)


B’s

# 9 Pepper Crown (ML 20-1)

C's

# 2 Goodwood Mirage (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 4 Its Allabout Jerry (ML 4-1)
# 6 Docs Legacy (Ire) (ML 10-1)

Rye Patch goes first off the claim for Trainer Doug O'Neill, who tends to do well with such.  Unusual Taste took the Place at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass.  Unusually Green finished well back in that contest; but Unusually Green should improve with the move to the main track, having won at this class level over this surface back in November.  Pepper Crown is another that could improve with the return to the main track.

Goodwill Mirage (Ire) and Docs Legacy (Ire), both trained by Manuel Badilla, fit well at this class level.  Its Allabout Jerry ships in from up north to try the synthetic for the first time.  If Its Allabout Jerry takes to the surface, then he'll be right in the mix here.

RACE 9 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Call the Boss (ML 8-5)

B's

# 3 An Khe Pass (ML 6-1)
# 4 Captain Ron (ML 3-1)
# 5 Caliente Shuffle (ML 15-1)

C's

None

Call the Boss took the Place over this main track last time out.  An Khe Pass returns from an extended layoff for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer.  An Khe Pass showed good early speed at this class level last time out.

Captain Ron, a first time starter for Trainer Doug O'Neill, shows a steady work pattern in preparation for this contest.  Caliente Shuffle showed good early speed in his debut last time out.

OK, that's the analysis.  While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket.  While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected.  I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up.  So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 2,4 with 4 with 4 with 8 with 1,7,8 with 1 $6.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 2,4,6 with 4 with 3,4,6,8 with 8 with 1,7,8,9 with 1,3,4,5 $38.40

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 1,2 with 4 with 8 with 1,7,8 with 1 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 4 with 4 with 1,3,5,7,9 with 1,7,8 with 1 $6.00
$0.20 P6: 2,4 with 4 with 4 with 8 with 2,4,6 with 1 $1.20

Total: $54.00

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:14 EDT / 2:14 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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