It's a big day of racing at Santa Anita Saturday, with three Graded Stakes. Unfortunately, the rains have made a mess of the track, making playing the card in Arcadia unappealing (at least, to me). So for that reason we're going to shift our Saturday action to the east; but not too far east, as we take a run at The Pick Five at Turf Paradise.
RACE 4 - Clm $4k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Boozin Time (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 8 No Ez Money (ML 6-1)
C's
# 4 Cozy Bar (ML 4-1)
# 5 Inexcess Time (ML 8-5)
Boozin Time was within a length of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out, and could benefit from the reduction in real estate. No Ez Money has shown good early speed on the fake stuff in his last two races; that early speed should transfer well to a real dirt track.
Cozy Bar will be going for his third win in a row; and while he's in top form, it's fair to question how Cozy Bar will handle the stretchout combined with the move up in class. Inexcess Time has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of his last three races, and his form seems to be declining as he makes his way down the class ladder in search of victory. Still, Inexcess Time cannot be totally dismissed, as a return to the form that he showed in the Fall would make him a top contender here.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Wild Fibs (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 1 Barn Party (ML 5-2)
C's
# 6 Champion Risk (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 4 Copy Begone (ML 10-1)
Wild Fibs has finished in the Trifecta nine of the previous ten times that she has competed over this main track. Barn Party was victorious at this class level last time out. Champion Risk could move up on the class drop.
RACE 6 - (F) ALW N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Bullicious (ML 5-2)
B's
# 9 Don't Tell Judy (ML 2-1)
C's
# 5 Entitled Star (ML 3-1)
# 8 Formal Choice (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 6 Starry Cielo (ML 20-1) and # 7 Bottle Dance (ML 6-1)
Bullicious has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last two starts. Don't Tell Judy tries winners for the first time after graduating by daylight last time out in her Turf Paradise debut.
Entitled Star could move forward in her return to one turn racing coupled with her first start on a Fast dirt track. Formal Choice could improve in her second start off the freshening.
RACE 7 - ALW NC - Five Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Rockin Home (ML 2-1)
# 4 Castletown (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Alpine Luck (ML 5-2)
# 6 Mr Wild Kitty (ML 30-1)
# 8 Shrewd Move (ML 4-1)
Over at Turf Paradise's website it is noted that this contest is referred to as The Tom Metzen Classic Sprint Memorial. It is named in honor of the late President of the Arizona Horsemen’s Benevolent and Protective Association (HBPA), who also served in a similar HBPA capacity at Canterbury Park.
Rockin Home has finished in the Exacta against stakes competition in each of his last two starts. Castletown has won three of the four times that he has competed over this main track, and Trainer Robertino Diodoro tends to do well with runners returning from an extended vacation.
Alpine Luck, as trained by Diodoro, is a perfect three-for-three over this main track. Mr Wild Kitty could be the one running best late. Shrewd Move, shipping in from Kentucky, has done well in the past over this main track, and the sharp work on 12/17 suggests that he may be ready to do so again.
RACE 8 - Clm $6.25k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Luz Atticus (ML 15-1)
B’s
# 4 Marv (ML 20-1)
# 5 Timber Faller (ML 15-1)
# 8 Northern Contract (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Compete Everyday (ML 6-1)
# 12 Corsa Di Cavalli (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 10 Coastal Breeze (ML 4-1)
Luz Atticus took the Show against more expensive two starts back. Marv gets some much needed class relief. Timber Faller was a winner against more expensive up at Emerald Downs the last time that he competed on real dirt.
Northern Contract was within a length of the winner at the wire against more expensive last time out; but the added real estate Northern Contract has to cover today is a concern.
Compete Everyday was a winner at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass. Corsa Di Cavalli could move up in his second start off the layoff.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P5: 1 with 5 with 3 with 3,4 with 1 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P5: 1,8 with 1,5 with 3,9 with 3,4 with 1,4,5,8 $32.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P5: 4,5 with 5 with 3 with 3,4 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 1 with 6 with 3 with 3,4 with 1 $1.00
$0.50 P5: 1 with 5 with 5,8 with 3,4 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 1 with 5 with 3 with 2,6,8 with 1 $1.50
$0.50 P5: 1 with 5 with 3 with 3,4 with 3,12 $2.00
Total: $42.50
Post Time for Race 4 is 4:09 EST / 1:09 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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