Two maiden events along with a trio of N2L contests in today's six race sequence means that we're going to have to find winners in races where winners are rather scarce. So let's get to it, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 4 - Clm $4k N2L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 3 Clude (Morning Line 6-5)
# 5 Gato Pimiento (ML 2-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 4 Outlook (ML 5-1)
Clude drops a bit on the class ladder after finishing in the money against more expensive in his last few starts. Gato Pimiento took the Place at this class level behind a next out winner last time out. Outlook has finished in the money at this class level in each of his last two starts.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $4k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Newcomb (ML 7-5)
B’s
# 2 Eighty to Davis (ML 2-1)
# 5 Peppered Gold (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Newcomb gets some much needed class relief here. Expect Newcomb and Peppered Gold to be the pace setters with Eighty to Davis attempting to swoop in late.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $5k N2L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 5 Forbidden Command (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 3 Winter's Nest (ML 7-5)
C's
# 1 Pray Anyway (ML 8-1)
# 6 Esperanza's Mobile (ML 9-2)
Note that, unlike the first two races in this sequence, this contest has exemptions to the N2L condition; specifically, Maiden, Claiming and Starter races for $4k or less are not considered. So, technically, this contest should be an N1X rather than an N2L. For the record, Pray Anyway is the only runner in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle just once in her career.
Forbidden Command missed victory by less than a length at this approximate class level last time out. Winter's Nest goes first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who's been winning pretty much everything of late. Pray Anyway will look to be speed on the rail and try to steal this contest on the front end. Esperanza's Mobile took the Show behind a next out winner last time out.
RACE 7 - (F) Md $20k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
NOTE: THIS RACE WAS ORIGINALLY SCHEDULED FOR THE TURF
A’s
# 1 Angel Ella (ML 7-2)
B's
# 2 Misty Bay (ML 2-1)
# 5 Flika (ML 3-1)
# 7 Intwo Mypossession (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Masquerade Fair (ML 20-1) and # 6 Cinzia (ML 4-1)
Angel Ella took the Place at this class level two starts back. Misty Bay has finished in the money in eight of her last nine races, the exception being her most recent try against non-claiming maidens. Flika took the Place at this class level two starts back, and could be the controlling speed. Intwo Mypossession tries two turn racing for the first time.
RACE 8 - MSW - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Ice Cream Fame (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Song for the Crowd (ML 5-2)
# 5 Zahabra (ML 10-1)
# 6 Trickonomics (ML 5-1)
# 7 J C's Nightcap (ML 8-1)
Ice Cream Game took the Place in his debut last time out, and a repeat of that effort should be good enough to win here today. Song for the Crowd and Trickonomics are first time starters going for trainers (John Martin and Jeff Bonde, respectively, who tend to do well when sending out debut runners.
Zahabra took the Place last time out in his first try on a synthetic surface, albeit against lesser company. J C's Nightcap has taken the Show at this class level in two of his three most recent starts.
RACE 9 - Clm $6.25k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
NOTE: THIS RACE WAS ORIGINALLY SCHEDULED FOR THE TURF
A’s
# 1 Sweet Daddy (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 2 Hock (ML 12-1)
# 4 The Gray Hound (ML 12-1)
# 5 Volkonsky (ML 9-2)
C's
None
Scratch # 6 Danas Best (Aus) (ML 5-2) and # 8 Opsec (ML 4-1)
Sweet Daddy ships in from downstate and is getting some tremendous class relief. Hock and The Gray Hound project to be the early leaders; together they should give Sweet Daddy enough pace to chase; but if either should get loose from the other, they could steal it on the front end. Volkonsky has finished in the money nine of the eleven times that he has competed on a synthetic surface.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket. While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected. I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 3,5 with 4 with 5 with 1 with 2 with 1 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 3,4,5 with 2,4,5 with 3,5 with 1,2,5,7 with 2 with 1,2,4,5 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 3,5 with 4 with 1,6 with 1 with 2 with 1 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 3,5 with 4 with 5 with 1 with 3,5,6,7 with 1 $1.60
Total: $62.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 5:16 EDT / 2:16 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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