Saturday, April 8, 2017

4/8/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Preview

Saturday's a big day for previewing the upcoming Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks, with important prep races being held in New York, Kentucky, and SoCal.  As for us, we're going to remain focused on the action at Golden Gate Fields, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 4 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Bundesliga (Morning Line 9-5)

B’s

# 3 Global Event (ML 7-2)
# 4 Nowhere Man (ML 5-2)
# 6 Post Rock (ML 4-1)

C's

None

Bundesliga missed victory by just a nose at this class level back in February.  Global Event goes first off the claim for Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such.  Nowhere Man could move up with the stretch out.  Post Rock took the Place at this class level last time out.

RACE 5 - (F) Clm $25k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Light One (ML 8-5)

B’s

# 3 Hijra (Ire) (ML 4-1)
# 6 Optimism And Hope (ML 9-2)

C's

# 1 If You Like It (ML 2-1)
# 5 Bold Intent (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 2 Bow Tie Belle

Light One and Hijra (Ire), both trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, are both dropping in class after not showing much last time out.  The expectation is that they should return to their prior form against lesser company.

Optimism and Hope drops in class while making her fourth start for Trainer John Martin, who has been winning most everything lately.  If You Like It has rung up three straight Wins against lesser company.  Bold Intent is being used because every other runner in this race is on our tickets.

RACE 6 - (F) OC 62k/N2X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Emmy And I (ML 2-1)

B’s

None

C's

# 2 Toomuchisnotenough (ML 9-2)
# 3 Qiaona (ML 3-1)
# 4 Deb's Wildcard (ML 12-1)
# 5 Run For Retts (ML 4-1)
# 6 Fervent Femme (ML 7-2)

Another contest where every runner is being used in some form or another.  Emmy And I wanted no part of the Santa Anita Hill last time out in the Irish O'Brien Stakes, and should return to form with her return home, riding the rail to a gate-to-wire win.  But if something else is going on with Emmy And I that caused her poor performance last time out, then this becomes a wide open contest that could be won by anyone.

RACE 7 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Please Do (ML 4-1)
# 6 Dumont (ML 9-5)

B’s

None

C's

# 3 Thissideofheaven (ML 7-2)

Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass for having one (and just one) win against winners, provided that win was for $16k or less.  For the record, Dumont is the only runner in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle twice in her career.

Dumont and Please Do took the Place and Show, respectively, at this class level last time out.  Expect to see Please Do up front early with Dumont doing her best running late.  Thissideofheaven has proven to be competitive at this class level.

RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 3 Donji (ML 9-2)
# 5 Bronzino (ML 5-2)

B's

# 6 Taelyns Prince (ML 8-1)
# 7 Dynamic Scoring (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Eddie and the King (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 8 Undeniable U (ML 8-1)

Donji and Bronzino appear to be the most talented here; look for Bronzino early and Donji late.  Taelyns Prince and Dynamic Scoring seem to fit well on class, as does Eddie and the King; though Eddie and the King may be disadvantaged by the rail draw due to his lack of early speed.

RACE 9 - Md $25k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Pete and Jack (ML 8-5)

B's

# 1 Dad's a Gambler (ML 9-2)
# 6 Tiz Jims (ML 12-1)

C's

# 4 Traffic Ticket (ML 5-1)

Pete and Jack took the Place at this class level last time out.  Dad's a Gambler showed some late interest in his debut last time out.  Tiz Jims may wake up dropping in for a tag for the first time.  Traffic Ticket closed well against cheaper stock last time out.

OK, that's the analysis.  While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket.  While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected.  I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up.  So with all that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 2 with 4 with 1 with 2,6 with 3,5 with 5 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 2,3,4,6 with 3,4,6 with 1 with 2,6 with 3,5,6,7 with 1,5,6 $57.60

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 2 with 1,5 with 1 with 2,6 with 3,5 with 5 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 2 with 4 with 2,3,4,5,6 with 2,6 with 3,5 with 5 $4.00
$0.20 P6: 2 with 4 with 1 with 3 with 3,5 with 5 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 2 with 4 with 1 with 2,6 with 1 with 5 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 2 with 4 with 1 with 2,6 with 3,5 with 4 $0.80

Total: $68.80

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:50 EDT / 2:50 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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