It's Sunday! And that's about all I have as far as introductions go. So let's just get to it, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 4 - Clm $20k N2X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 El Koreano (Morning Line 8-5)
B’s
# 4 Life Is A Trip (ML 5-2)
# 5 Ultra Fame (ML 9-2)
C's
None
El Koreano was victorious at approximately this class level last time out (cheaper claiming price, but no conditions). Life Is A Trip is getting some class relief in his 2017 debut. Ultra Fame could improve with the added half-furlong.
RACE 5 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Melville (ML 2-1)
# 8 Junior G Man (ML 4-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 4 Going for the Win (ML 9-2)
# 5 Native Chieftain (ML 6-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass for having one (and just one) win against winners, provided that win was for $16k or less. For the record, Going for the Win and Junior G Man are the only runners in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle twice in their career.
Note also that Race 9 has these identical conditions at the same distance on the turf; so consider Races 5 and 9 to be two divisions of the same contest.
Melville and Junior G Man are the two runners in this field that best fit here on class and speed. The only concern with these two is that they both tend to settle for too many minor awards. Hopefully today each won't out-hang the other long enough to allow another runner to cross under the wire first; but if they should, then hopefully that other runner will be either Native Chieftain (early) or Going for the Win (late).
RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 6 Shoshoni Storm (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 3 You Play the Bench (ML 6-1)
C's
# 2 Academic Code (ML 7-2)
# 5 Radar Jammin (ML 9-2)
# 7 Arch Kisser (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 1 Image of Strength (ML 10-1)
Shoshoni Storm and You Play the Bench are a pair of debut winners from last time out that each ran well enough to warrant strong consideration that one of them will be starting their career two-and-oh. Academic Code and Radar Jammin took the Place and Show, respectively, at this class level last time out. Arch Kisser is the one that could be running best late.
RACE 7 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 A. P. Zona (ML 9-5)
# 4 Pass Due Payment (ML 9-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Golden Doughnut (ML 8-1)
# 7 Q. T.'s Tribute (ML 7-2)
# 8 Carville (ML 6-1)
A. P. Zona, winner of each of his last two races, goes first off the claim for Trainer Blaine Wright, who tends to do well with such. Pass Due Payment took the Place at this class level last time out.
Golden Doughnut moves up in class after winning each of his last two events. Q. T.'s Tribute, sired by Unusual Heat, should improve over his initial turf effort now that he'll be going around two turns. Carville was a winner in his only prior try on this turf course. With his early speed, expect Carville to try to smoke the grass before the others can get into top gear.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 9 Hot Lightning (ML 6-1)
B's
# 2 Nightime Olympics (ML 7-2)
# 4 Tentwelvefourteen (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Brownie Finale (ML 8-1)
# 6 Johnny Reb (ML 5-1)
Hot Lightning was victorious at this class level last time out, with Tentwelvefourteen taking the Show behind him. Nightime Olympics, victorious against cheaper stock last time out, goes first off the claim for Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such.
Brownie Finale took the Place against a next out winner at this class level two starts back. Johnny Reb has been training well for this, his 2017 debut.
RACE 9 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Boleo (ML 7-2)
# 4 Architop (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Nowhere Man (ML 4-1)
# 8 Ace On The River (ML 10-1)
# 9 Village Kitten (ML 8-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass for having one (and just one) win against winners, provided that win was for $16k or less. For the record, Nowhere Man and # 3 Carolina Island (ML 6-1) are the only runners in this field with just one career victory.
Note also that Race 5 has these identical conditions at the same distance on the turf; so consider Races 5 and 9 to be two divisions of the same contest.
Architop was victorious at this class level last time out. Boleo could move up with the surface and distance changes. Nowhere Man has finished in the Trifecta in each of his tries on this turf course.
Ace On The River could improve with the move to the lawn. Village Kitten looks to be the one who will be running best late.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket. While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected. I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 2 with 6,8 with 6 with 1,4 with 9 with 1,4 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,4,5 with 6,8 with 3,6 with 1,4 with 2,4,9 with 1,4 $28.80
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 2 with 4,5 with 6 with 1,4 with 9 with 1,4 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 2 with 6,8 with 2,5,7 with 1,4 with 9 with 1,4 $4.80
$0.20 P6: 2 with 6,8 with 6 with 2,7,8 with 9 with 1,4 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 2 with 6,8 with 6 with 1,4 with 5,6 with 1,4 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 2 with 6,8 with 6 with 1,4 with 9 with 2,8,9 $2.40
Total: $51.20
Post Time for Race 4 is 5:16 EDT / 2:16 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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