"The Board approved a request from the California Authority of Racing Fairs (CARF) to run
five of the northern fair meets as one combined fair race meet, which among other things will
allow for Pick Six carryovers from meet to meet, culminating in Fresno. As allocated, those
venues and dates are: Oak Tree at Pleasanton from June 21 through July 11, the State Fair at
Cal Expo (July 12-August 1), the Humboldt County Fair in Ferndale (August 25-September
3), CARF with Oak Tree at Pleasanton (September 20-October 3), and the Big Fresno Fair
(October 4-17)"
Personally, I like it, as it will allow for the possibility of the pool to grow into a sizable amount. But that's the future; let's return to the present, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 4 - (F) [S] The Campanile $100k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Miss Sunset (Morning Line 7-5)
B's
None
C's
# 4 Radish (ML 4-1)
# 5 Shari (ML 6-1)
# 6 Lucky Christina (ML 2-1)
Miss Sunset won the Sweet Life charging down the Santa Anita Hill back in February. Miss Sunset should improve with the return to turf.
Radish won the photo for the Place over Miss Sunset last time out in the Evening Jewel last time out, which was run over the main Santa Anita dirt track. Shari and Lucky Christina, both sired by Lucky Pulpit, could move up in their turf debut.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $6.25k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Upended (ML 7-5)
B’s
# 4 Secret Agent Girl (ML 9-2)
# 5 Stormy Endeavor (ML 5-2)
C's
# 7 Hillside Queen (ML 6-1)
Upended took the Show against more expensive last time out. Secret Agent Girl tries winners for the first time after winning handily in her first start of 2017. Stormy Endeavor took the Place at this class level last time out. Hillside Queen flashed a bit of early speed against more expensive last time out.
RACE 6 - [S] The Silky Sullivan $100k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Mr. Hinx (ML 5-2)
# 5 Tribal Storm (ML 8-1)
B's
# 2 Grecian Fire (ML 6-1)
# 3 More Power to Him (ML 9-2)
# 4 Ninety Nine Proof (ML 15-1)
# 6 Elwood J (ML 3-1)
# 7 B Squared (ML 7-2)
C's
None
Mr. Hinx and Tribal Storm are the only two in this field that have won competing on the grass. Three of the starters here are making their turf debuts. The longest shot on the Morning Line, Ninety Nine Proof, has lost just once in four career starts. Quite frankly, I think this contest is wide open; so rather than trying to be ultra fine, let's just put everyone on our big ticket and try to get a price.
RACE 7 - OC 62.5k/N2X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Mah Gellin (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 5 Allaboutaction (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Malibu Alex (ML 6-1)
# 6 Top Pirana (ML 5-1)
Mah Gellin has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two starts. Allaboutaction looks to be the quickest in this field, and could steal it on the front end. Malibu Alex has been competitive with Mah Gellin in each of his last two outings, and could turn the tables on that rival today. Top Pirana could get a nice stalking trip from the outermost post.
RACE 8 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Lazzam (GB) (ML 8-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 4 Post Rock (ML 4-1)
# 5 Alamo Pintado (ML 30-1)
# 7 Tacola (ML 10-1)
# 11 Thermopylae (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 13 Neptune's Spear (ML 2-1), who does not draw in off the Also Eligible list
Lazzam (GB) ships in from downstate, and is being priced to sell with a massive class drop off the layoff; which is certainly a huge red flag, but Trainer John Martin tends to win with such.
Alamo Pintado took the Show against classier the last time that he competed on the turf. Post Rock has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in three of his last four starts. Tacola could improve with the return to turf. Thermopylae took the Show behind Post Rock last time out.
RACE 9 - Clm $4k B - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Storm Fashion (ML 7-2)
# 10 Smokin' Steve (ML 6-1)
B's
# 4 One Tuff Minister (ML 3-1)
# 5 Venturi (ML 9-2)
# 9 Himalaya Star (ML 10-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 11 North Pacific (No Line), who does not draw in off the Also Eligible list
This contest is restricted to runners which have either:
1) Not won a race since March 1, 2017; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race. If a horse has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have come in either this month or last (note that Claiming and Starter Races for $3.5k or less don't count when computing the Win totals). For the record, # 4 One Tuff Minister (ML 3-1), # 5 Venturi (ML 9-2), and # 8 Wake (ML 20-1) are the three runners in this field with fewer than four career Wins.
Storm Fashion is getting some much needed class relief. Smokin' Steve goes first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who has been winning most everything in sight.
One Tuff Minister took the Place at this approximate class level two starts back, and could be the one running best late. Venturi could move up going third off the freshening. Himalaya Star looks to be the speed of the speed, and could steal this one on the front end.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket. While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected. I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 1 with 2 with 1,5 with 4 with 6 with 1,10 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 1 with 2,4,5 with ALL with 4,5 with 6 with 1,4,5,9,10 $42.00
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 4,5,6 with 2 with 1,5 with 4 with 6 with 1,10 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 1 with 7 with 1,5 with 4 with 6 with 1,10 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 1 with 2 with 1,5 with 2,6 with 6 with 1,10 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 1 with 2 with 1,5 with 4 with 4,5,7,11 with 1,10 $3.20
Post Time for Race 4 is 5:18 EDT / 2:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
No comments:
Post a Comment