“The soldier above all others prays for peace, for it is the soldier who must suffer and bear the deepest wounds and scars of war.” – Douglas MacArthur
A heartfelt "Thank You!" to all who have served the cause of freedom, both those who are still with us and those who have passed on, as we celebrate this Veterans Day / Remembrance Day / Armistice Day. As part of that celebration of freedom, we turn to those activities which we are free to enjoy; among them being Sunday's card at Del Mar. But before doing so, allow me to note here that, while there will be holiday racing on Monday, other obligations will preclude me from posting my thoughts on that card's sequence. So with all that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 6 - Md $20k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Fast Cotton (Morning Line 3-1)
B's
# 4 Optimum (ML 5-2)
# 5 Sought Bai (ML 15-1)
# 7 Harley's Place (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Fleetwood (ML 15-1)
# 2 Irish Ballad (ML 10-1)
# 3 Dude's Dude (ML 20-1)
# 8 Mikeys Glory (ML 10-1)
# 10 Grand Minister (ML 5-1)
# 11 The Bull Mousse (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 9 Rounding for Home (ML 15-1)
Fast Cotton took the Place at this class level two starts back, and could rebound back to that effort going third off the layoff. Optimum took the Place at this class level last time out, and is the only runner in this field to have finished in the Trifecta last time out.
Sought Bai ran one of the best races of his career in his only prior start on a real dirt track. Harley's Place showed good early speed upstate against non-claiming maidens in his debut last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - Alw 50000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Souter (GB) (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 4 Worthy Turk (ML 3-1)
# 6 East Rand (ML 6-1)
# 9 It's Tiz Time (ML 15-1)
C's
# 2 Gray Admiral (ML 15-1)
# 3 Snazzy Dresser (ML 6-1)
# 5 Hot American (ML 7-2)
# 7 Ayacara (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 1 Spirit Mission (ML 15-1)
Note for future reference that this contest is for runners which have not won two races in their career; no exceptions. None of these runners have visited the winner's circle more than once in their respective lifetime.
Souter (GB), Worthy Turk, and East Rand all disappointed (in separate contests) last time out as the Post Time Favorite while running well enough where they could win at this level today. It's Tiz Time is trying the turf for the first time, and his breeding suggests that It's Tiz Time will do well on the grass. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) [S] The Betty Grable $100k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Show It N Moe It (ML 8-1)
B's
# 2 Love a Honeybadger (ML 5-1)
# 3 Just Grazed Me (ML 5-2)
C's
# 4 Spiced Perfection (ML 3-1)
# 6 Meet and Greet (ML 12-1)
# 7 One Fast Broad (ML 8-1)
# 8 S Y Sky (ML 5-1)
# 9 Gorgeous Ginny (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 1 Mo See Cal (ML 12-1)
Show It N Moe It could move up with the class drop. Love a Honeybadger projects to be the one that they'll have to catch to win. Just Grazed Me could improve with the return to one turn racing. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - (F) [S] OC 20k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Operandi (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Bako Sweets (ML 7-2)
# 4 Coco Kisses (ML 8-1)
# 7 Herunbridledpower (ML 15-1)
C's
# 3 Shylock Eddie (ML 4-1)
# 5 Gypsy Blue (ML 15-1)
# 6 Don't Pass (ML 20-1)
# 8 Great Ma Neri (ML 12-1)
# 9 Judicial (ML 6-1)
# 10 Charming Slew (ML 10-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 11 Discatsonthesquare (ML 4-1) and # 12 Powder (ML 3-1)
Operandi looks best here; but the rail draw is a bit of a concern, as Operandi may not be quick enough early to make the inside post an advantage rather than a disadvantage. Bako Sweets seems to run well regardless of surface.
Coco Kisses graduated last time out, and could win today with a repeat of that effort. Herunbridledpower appears to be in top form.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 8 with 5 with 1 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,5,6,7 with 4,6,8,9 with 2,3,5 with 1,2,4,7 $96.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,8,10,11 with 8 with 5 with 1 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2,3,5,7 with 5 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 8 with 4,6,7,8,9 with 1 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 8 with 5 with 3,5,6,8,9,10 $3.00
Total: $107.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EST / 3:00 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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