RACE 5 - Md $30k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Mayan Warrior (Morning Line 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Irish Polo (ML 6-1)
# 2 Runningwscissors (ML 6-1)
# 4 Mad At Money (ML 20-1)
# 5 Take Charge Lucky (ML 8-1)
# 6 Mo Dinero (ML 8-1)
# 8 Violent Behavior (ML 6-1)
# 9 Empirical Data (ML 30-1)
# 10 S On My Chest (ML 20-1)
# 11 Diamond Blitz (ML 4-1)
# 12 Mr Bingley (ML 20-1)
# 14 A Salute to Lt Dan (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 7 Forestation (ML 20-1) and # 13 Calder Vale (ML 6-1). Bring in # 14 A Salute to Lt Dan (ML 15-1) off the Also Eligible List.
Big decision right off the bat: Do I single in the opening leg? Mayan Warrior really towers over this field on paper. However, much could have been said about Mayan Warrior last time out, when he failed by a half dozen lengths as the Post Time Favorite. If that happens again today, then this could be a very short play for me; but it won't be a first round knockout, as all others are being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 6 - Clm $50k - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 3 Perfectly Majestic (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 1 Tiz a Billy (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Placido (ML 6-1)
# 4 K Thirty Eight (ML 20-1)
# 5 Hitters Park (ML 8-1)
# 6 Jan's Reserve (ML 20-1)
# 7 Lauren's Ladd (ML 8-1)
# 8 Allaboutmike (ML 15-1)
# 9 My Man Chuckles (ML 6-1)
# 10 Castle (ML 8-1)
I was very tempted to single here, as I believe that Perfectly Majestic should totally out-class this field. But the concern with Perfectly Majestic is he seems to settle for too many minor awards. Yes, a large part of that is because of the caliber of competition; but when you have to go back more than a year in order to find a runner's last visit to the winner's circle, then perhaps that runner shouldn't be a big ticket single. So onto the big ticket goes Tiz a Billy, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 7 - Md $20k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 11 For the Hustle (ML 7-2)
B's
# 6 Powerful Thirst (ML 5-1)
C's
# 2 Salutelute (ML 12-1)
# 3 Braggart (ML 20-1)
# 4 Silver Badge (ML 30-1)
# 5 Doheny Beach (ML 20-1)
# 7 Bartlett Hall (ML 6-1)
# 8 Pastorelli (ML 4-1)
# 9 Emotional Ride (ML 6-1)
# 10 Supreme Giant (ML 30-1)
# 12 War Link (ML 20-1)
# 13 Castle View (ML 50-1)
# 14 Conversate (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 1 Flynn (ML 10-1)
For the Hustle has finished in the Trifecta each of the last three times that he has competed at this class level. Powerful Thirst took the Show at this class level last time out; and while it may seem that Powerful Thirst has used up all his chances, the routes in his Past Performances can be crossed out, as there was no way Powerful Thirst was going around two turns. The backup "C" Selections are all others.
RACE 8 - The Twilight Derby (Grade 2) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A's
# 1 Have At It (ML 4-1)
B's
# 4 Kazan (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 8 River Boyne (Ire) (ML 5-2)
C's
# 3 Majestic Eagle (ML 8-1)
# 5 Pubilius Syrus (ML 15-1)
# 5 Pubilius Syrus (ML 15-1)
# 6 Desert Stone (Ire) (ML 20-1)
# 7 Epical (ML 20-1)
# 7 Epical (ML 20-1)
# 9 Platinum Warrior (Ire) (ML 4-1)
# 10 Andesh (Ire) (ML 12-1)
# 10 Andesh (Ire) (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 2 Prince Earl (ML 6-1)
Have At It ships in from the east, and if he runs as he did last time out while winning the Grade 2 Hill Prince, then this race will be a no contest. Kazan (Ire) and River Boyne (Ire) filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta in the Grade 2 Del Mar Derby last time out. Everyone else is being used as a backup "C" Selection.
RACE 9 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Kylemore (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 2 Lord Guinness (ML 4-1)
# 3 Jungle Warfare (ML 6-1)
# 4 Pleasant d'Oro (ML 6-1)
# 6 Surfing Star (ML 7-2)
# 7 Paddock Pick (ML 8-1)
# 10 Longden (ML 6-1)
# 10 Longden (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Violent Ridge (ML 15-1)
# 5 Secret Touch (ML 15-1)
# 9 Major Cabbie (ML 15-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 11 Arch Prince (ML 12-1) and # 12 Ferguson (ML 12-1)
If you've got the budget, don't mess with this leg; just punch the "ALL" button. I relegated three in the field to backup "C" Selection status; but this one in my opinion is wide open, and you're better off (if you've got the bankroll) just going "ALL" in and moving on.
RACE 10 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Neptune's Storm (ML 4-1)
B's
# 3 Weekly Call (ML 6-1)
# 4 Farquhar (ML 5-1)
# 9 Knight's Cross (ML 8-1)
# 10 Northwestern (ML 6-1)
# 13 Felix Leiter (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Union Station (ML 20-1)
# 5 Speakerofthehouse (ML 8-1)
# 6 Dyf (ML 8-1)
# 8 Leader of Men (ML 10-1)
# 8 Leader of Men (ML 10-1)
# 11 Zorich (ML 12-1)
# 12 Red Valor (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 7 Salah (ML 12-1); bring in the Also Eligible, # 13 Felix Leiter (ML 6-1)
Neptune's Storm tries two turns for the second time; runners for Trainer Billy Morey tend to improve when doing such. Weekly Call took the Place at this approximate class level last time out. Farquhar could improve with the change in barn.
Knight's Cross deserves another chance with the hood in place. Northwestern and Felix Leiter are two debut runners that should do well on the turf. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 3 with 3 with 11 with 1 with 8 with 2 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 3 with 1,3 with 6,11 with 1,4,8 with 2,3,4,6,7,8,10 with 2,3,4,9,10,13 $100.80
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,2,4,5,6,8,9,10,11,12,14 with 3 with 11 with 1 with 8 with 2 $2.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2,4,5,6,7,8,9,10 with 11 with 1 with 8 with 2 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 3 with 3 with 2,3,4,5,7,8,9,10,12,13,14 with 1 with 8 with 2 $2.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 3 with 11 with 3,5,6,7,9,10 with 8 with 2 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 3 with 11 with 1 with 1,5,9 with 2 $0.60
$0.20 P6: 3 with 3 with 11 with 1 with 8 with 1,5,6,8,11,12 $1.20
Total: $110.80
Post Time for Race 5 is 4:20 EST / 1:20 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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