Race 6 - The Cecil B DeMille - # 6 Flying Scotsman (Final Odds 1.00*) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 9 Qahira (1.30*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 8 The Hunted (1.90*) - "B" Selection & "B" Selection*
Race 10 - # 10 Littlebitamedal (3.60) - "B" Selection
* # 5 Jet Set Ruler was a late scratch from Race 8, so I received The Hunted, the Post Time Favorite, in his place.
Part of the handicapping process for a multi-race sequence is seeking to determine an approximate amount as to what the likely payoff will be. This is necessary in order to guide decisions regarding how deep to go in certain legs; as the more horses you use on your big ticket, the greater the cost of your play; and you want to be sure (well, as sure as you can be) that the potential payoff justifies your initial outlay.
Handicapping Sunday's sequence, I felt that there was an above average probability that The Late Pick Four payout would be substantial, as each leg appeared to have the potential to be a wide open affair. Instead we were treated to a chalk parade, with only the nightcap being won be a non-Post Time Favorite.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:
# 2 Sought Bai (2.90) - $38.40 Finish: 7th
# 9 Astonishing Tweet (2.50*) - $27.35 Finish: 5th
# 11 Malachim (26.30) - $257.90 Finish: 6th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 9 / 8 / 10 which paid $52.55 for a fifty cent wager. Thanks to Jet Set Ruler's late scratch combined with The Hunted's victory in the third leg, I collect double that amount. That makes for a profit of $5.10 on my initial $100 investment, or odds of 0.051-1. Which sure ain't much; but one thing you're never going to see me do is turn my nose up at profit.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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