Sunday, November 25, 2018

11/25/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Preview

As it was on the program yesterday, so it is today in Southern California, with two Graded Stakes on the card.  The earlier of the two, the Grade 3 Native Diver, fall outside the realm of this preview.  But I will be taking a look at the Grade 3 Cecil B. DeMille below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 6 - The Cecil B DeMille (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A's

# 2 Rijeka (Ire) (ML 4-1)

B's

# 3 Vantastic (ML 5-2)
# 6 Flying Scotsman (ML 2-1)

C's

# 1 Takeo Squared (ML 7-2)
# 5 Sayin Grace (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 4 Irish Heatwave (ML 8-1)

Juveniles on the turf; none of whom have defeated winners.  Rijeka (Ire), Show runner in the Zuma Beach last time out, looks best at a price.  But, again, juveniles on the turf; if you have the budget, just punch the "ALL" button and move on.

RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Bizwhacks (ML 5-1)

B's

# 2 Claudelle (ML 9-2)
# 8 Tizwellwithmysoul (ML 15-1)
# 9 Qahira (ML 3-1)
# 10 Slewgoodtobetrue (ML 7-2)

C's

# 3 Suprema (ML 12-1)
# 4 Posit (ML 15-1)
# 5 To the Morning (ML 8-1)
# 6 Happy Tune (ML 6-1)
# 7 Fight Night (ML 20-1)

More juveniles, this time fillies on the dirt.  The big plus with these races is that you could be watching a future star make their initial steps in what could be a great career.

Bizwhacks could improve by getting off the lawn and going around just one turn.  Claudelle has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her three career starts.

Tizwellwithmysoul and Qahira are a pair of debut runners trained by Jerry Holendorfer and Bob Baffert, respectively.  Slewgoodtobetrue closed well in her debut last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 8 - [S] OC 20k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Acclimate (ML 5-1)

B’s

# 5 Jet Set Ruler (ML 3-1)
# 8 The Hunted (ML 4-1)

C's

# 1 Hot Perfection (ML 20-1)
# 2 Push Through (ML 6-1)
# 4 Six Point Rack (ML 7-2)
# 7 Shaymin (ML 8-1)
# 9 Carville (ML 12-1)
# 10 Duke of Fallbrook (ML 30-1)

Scratch # 6 Elwood J (ML 12-1)

Acclimate looked much improved in his first start for Trainer Phil D'Amato last time out.  Jet Set Ruler could improve with the return to Del Mar, as well as by going second off the layoff.  The Hunted won for fun last time out in his graduation; perhaps The Hunted has finally figured out what this racing stuff is all about.

I ultimately decided that Six Point Race and Shaymin have both had enough chances at this class level without succeeding; but those of you with larger budgets may wish to consider putting one or both on your big tickets, while I use them both along with the rest of the field as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 9 - Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Sought Bai (ML 4-1)

B's

# 9 Astonishing Tweet (ML 3-1)
# 10 Littlebitamedal (ML 6-1)
# 11 Malachim (ML 20-1)

C's

# 1 Fleetwood (ML 20-1)
# 3 Mikeys Glory (ML 20-1)
# 4 Iron Curtain (ML 6-1)
# 6 Jonas (ML 20-1)
# 7 Moon Juice (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 5 Spanish Bay (ML 7-2) and # 8 Thefourfortyfourth (No Line)

Sought Bai is getting awfully close to running out of chances on this circuit; but Sought Bai's early speed is just too good to ignore at this class level.

Astonishing Tweet makes his second career start for Trainer Michael McCarthy, who tends to do well with such.  Littlebitamedal could improve with the class drop and the return to one turn racing.  Malachim is a first time starter sired by First Defence, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 2 with 1 with 3 with 2 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,3,6 with 1,2,8,9,10 with 3,5,8 with 2,9,10,11 $90.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,5 with 1 with 3 with 2 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 3,4,5,6,7 with 3 with 2 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 2 with 1 with 1,2,4,7,9,10 with 2 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 1 with 3 with 1,3,4,6,7 $2.50

Total: $100.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EST / 3:00 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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