Saturday, November 11, 2017

11/11/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

“Honor to the soldier and sailor everywhere, who bravely bears his country's cause.  Honor, also, to the citizen who cares for his brother in the field and serves, as he best can, the same cause.” - Abraham Lincoln

A heartfelt "Thank You!" to all who have served the cause of freedom, both those who are still with us and those who have passed on, as we celebrate this Veterans Day / Remembrance Day / Armistice Day.  As part of that celebration of freedom, we turn to those activities which we enjoy; one of which is Saturday's card at Golden Gate Fields, which includes the $50k Golden Nugget, a six furlong sprint for juveniles.  So with that said let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 6 - Alw 8000s - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Roaring Rule (Morning Line 2-1)
# 5 Dixie Pistol (ML 8-5)

B’s

None

C's

# 8 Nowhere Man (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 1 Black Tie Event (ML 5-2), who was entered for the main track only.  Also scratch # 7 Burger and Fries (Fr) (ML 20-1)

Note for future reference that this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry.  So any runner that has started for a claiming price of $8k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.

Roaring Rule was a winner at this class level last time out, albeit over the main track.  Dixie Pistol gets some well deserved class relief here.  Nowhere Man disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out, but could move up with the softer sod beneath his hooves.

RACE 7 - The Golden Nugget $50k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Runaway Ghost (ML 2-1)

B's

# 2 Intimidate (ML 9-5)

C's

# 1 Generally Lucky (ML 3-1)

Runaway Ghost could be a runaway winner here, as he has been working well off the five month layoff.  The only question for Runaway Ghost is how he will handle the all weather surface, as all his impressive workouts have been over the Santa Anita main track.

Intimidate is undefeated in two lifetime starts, both over this main track.  Generally Lucky could be the one running best late.

RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 1 One Eyed Mama (ML 3-1)

B's

# 2 Boldest Vow (ML 7-2)
# 3 C C Rocks (ML 12-1)
# 4 Austria (ML 10-1)
# 6 Christiana's Song (ML 9-5)
# 8 Palace Ghost (ML 9-2)

C's

None

One Eyed Mama and C C Rocks filled out the bottom two slots in the Trifecta at this class level last time out.  Boldest Vow ships in from downstate for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, and should appreciate the class relief.  Austria took the Place at this class level two starts back, crossing under the wire four lengths in front of Christiana's Song.

Christiana's Song makes her first start for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with newcomers.  Palace Ghost tries the grass as well as two turn racing for the first time; her breeding suggests that she should do well at both.

RACE 9 - Clm $6.25k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Pete's Slew (ML 8-5)
# 6 Super C Me (ML 6-1)

B's

# 3 Hot Market (ML 7-2)

C's

# 5 Academic Code (ML 12-1)
# 8 Top Drawer (ML 7-2)

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since August 1, 2017; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as a runner has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race.  If a horse has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come since the end of July (note that Claiming and Starter Races for $5k or less don't count when computing the Win totals).  For the record, # 1 Somsi (ML 12-1), # 5 Academic Code (ML 12-1), and # 7 Ace On the River (ML 15-1) are the three runners in this field with fewer than four career Wins.

Pete's Slew was victorious at today's distance the last time the he competed over this main track.  Super C Me is making his Golden Gate Fields debut, but he has run well previous over the synthetic surface at Presque Isle Downs.

Hot Market could improve with the change of surface.  Academic Code was victorious at this class level two starts back, albeit over the real dirt at Pleasanton.  Top Draw has failed as the Post Time Favorite in five of his last eight starts; but perhaps the change in barn will help Top Draw improve his fortunes.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3,5 with 4 with 1 with 2,6 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,5 with 2,4 with 1,2,3,4,6,8 with 2,3,6 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 8 with 4 with 1 with 2,6 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 3,5 with 1 with 1 with 2,6 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 3,5 with 4 with 1 with 5,8 $2.00

Total: $45.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:18 EST / 3:18 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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