Keeping my action downstate as the holiday weekend continues, where Del Mar will be playing host to a trio of Graded Stakes this Saturday. I'll be taking a look at two of those contests below, as I take another run at The Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 6 - [S] OC 20k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Getoffmyback (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 3 The Street Fighter (ML 5-2)
# 5 Swiss Minister (ML 8-1)
C's
# 1 One I'm Running To (ML 12-1)
# 6 Guy Code (ML 15-1)
Getoffmyback and The Street Fighter filled out the Exacta at Santa Anita last month at this approximate class level. Swiss Minister may benefit from the reduction in real estate.
One I'm Running To appears to be in top form and has had prior success over this main track; but One I'm Running To may be outclassed here. Guy Code could be the speed of the speed here.
RACE 7 - The Hollywood Derby (Grade 1) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Sharp Samurai (ML 5-2)
# 7 Mo Town (ML 3-1)
B's
# 6 Souper Tapit (ML 12-1)
C's
# 2 Bowies Hero (ML 6-1)
# 3 Channel Maker (ML 5-1)
# 9 Big Score (ML 4-1)
Sharp Samurai has won five out of six since forsaking the main track for some California grass. Mo Town did absolutely nothing wrong in winning his turf debut last time out; a repeat of that effort should get Mo Town into the Winner's Circle today. Souper Tapit is still seeking his first turf victory; but Souper Tapit was much improved last time out, and he may benefit from the added distance.
Big Score, Bowies Hero, and Channel Maker filled out the bottom three slots in the Superfecta behind Sharp Samurai in the Grade 2 Twilight Derby last time out; perhaps the change in locale will give one of them the edge over the Morning Line Favorite today.
RACE 8 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 10 Concur (ML 9-2)
B's
# 6 Samdar (ML 7-2)
# 11 Kris' Rocket Kat (ML 6-1)
# 12 Bourbon Dude (ML 20-1)
C's
# 4 Real Quick (ML 20-1)
# 7 Mo Over (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 3 Nero (ML 3-1); but don't bring in # 13 Optic (ML 8-1) off the Also Eligible list, as he is scratched as well.
These are juveniles, with eight first time starters. Concur and Kris' Rocket Kat are two of the experienced runners in this field, with Concur missing graduation by just a nose in his initial try last time out. Among the debut runners today, Samdar and Bourbon Dude seem to have the best combination of pedigree and connections to be expected to win first time out; while Real Quick and Mo Over also merit consideration, in my opinion.
RACE 9 - (F) The Jimmy Durantee (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 13 Fatale Bere (Fr) (ML 4-1)
B's
# 5 Raucous (ML 5-1)
# 6 Multiplayer (ML 20-1)
# 11 Data Dependent (ML 6-1)
C's
# 7 Ever So True (ML 12-1)
# 9 Sappho (Ire) (ML 15-1)
# 10 Just a Smidge (ML 15-1)
# 12 Thewayiam (Fr) (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 3 One Fast Broad (ML 12-1)
Fatale Bere (Fr) looks best here, returning as she is to a more suitable class level. I was very much tempted to make Fatale Bere a single here; but, these being juvenile fillies, it seemed prudent to give myself a bit more coverage.
Raucous and Multiplayer ship in after picking up Listed Stakes victories at other venues. Data Dependent looks to be the one that will be running best late.
Ever So True is still a maiden; but she's trained by Peter Miller, who seems to have won everything else this meet. Sappho (Ire) has put together three straight solid efforts. Just a Smidge's breeding suggests that she'll do well on the turf. Thewayiam (Fr) seems to fit well here, though stamina might be an issue.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 8 with 4,7 with 10 with 13 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,5,8 with 4,6,7 with 6,10,11,12 with 5,6,11,13 $72.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,6 with 4,7 with 10 with 13 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 2,3,9 with 10 with 13 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 8 with 4,7 with 4,7 with 13 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 4,7 with 10 with 7,9,10,12 $4.00
Total: $83.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EST / 3:00 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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