Sunday, November 19, 2017

11/19/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

In news that you most likely already know, Matt Dinerman, who has spent the previous three years as track announcer at Emerald Downs, will be replacing Frank Mirahmadi as the track announcer at Golden Gate at the end of the current meet.  Mirahmadi will be shifting to the East Coast, where he will be serving as the back-up track announcer for Aqueduct during the winter meet, a role previously filled by Travis Stone.  I mention all that here because I have absolutely nothing else to say by way of introduction; so let's just get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 6 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Synthetic (Originally Scheduled for the Turf)

A’s

# 1 Cook Up a Storm (Morning Line 7-2)

B's

# 3 Charming Ruler (ML 6-1)
# 4 Bel's Blessing (ML 6-1)
# 6 English Investor (ML 3-1)

C's

# 2 Kona Breeze (ML 9-2)
# 5 One True King (ML 4-1)
# 7 Askin' for Trouble (ML 8-1)


These are juveniles, and Cook Up a Storm and Charming Ruler are the only two runners in this field to have competed around two turns, and each managed to finish in the Trifecta while doing so.  

Bel's Blessing ran well in his debut last time out, once he realized there was a race going on and that he was in it.  English Investor goes first off the claim for Trainer Bill Morey, who tends to do well with such.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else, as there's no telling which two year old might suddenly grow up today.

RACE 7 - Clm $16k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 3 Holdthismiss (ML 9-5)

B’s

# 1 Next Speaker (ML 5-2)
# 5 Inexcess Again (ML 4-1)

C's

# 6 Gloria's Angelo (ML 12-1)

Holdthismiss and Next Speaker filled out the Exacta for a lesser claiming price last time out.  Inexcess Again could be the speed of the speed.  Gloria's Angelo could wake up with the class drop and surface switch.

RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Five Furlongs Synthetic (Originally Scheduled for the Turf)

A's

# 3 Oil (ML 5-1)

B's

# 4 Sunset Dragunn (ML 8-1)
# 5 Brownie Finale (ML 7-2)
# 9 Stellar Sea (ML 6-1)


C's

# 6 Frenchy Bobcat (ML 20-1)
# 7 The Common Man (ML 20-1)
# 10 Elegant Tanner (ML 3-1)


Scratch # 1 Ted Oliver (ML 8-1)

Oil's stock improves with this race being moved off the turf, as Oil has finished in the Trifecta each of the half dozen times in his career that he has competed over this main track.  Stellar Sea and Sunset Dragunn filled out the bottom two slots in the Trifecta at this class level last time out.

Brownie Finale may move up with the reduction in real estate.  Frenchy Bobcat has shown in the past that he can win off just works.  The Common Man has run well in the past over this main track.  Elegant Tanner fits well with the contenders on class, but may not be well suited to today's distance.

RACE 9 - (F) Clm $12.5k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Our Favorite City (ML 5-2)
# 7 Candy Pink (ML 7-2)

B's

# 2 Hub Cap (ML 20-1)

C's

# 3 Red City Zip (ML 3-1)
# 4 Midnight Seeker (ML 6-1)
# 5 She Sang (ML 4-1)
# 8 Passion for Papa (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 6 Sticker Shock (ML 20-1)

This contest is restricted to fillies and mares four years old and upward which have never won two races OR fillies which are three years old.  So if your distaff runner is four years old or older, then she must have fewer than two wins in her career.  However, if your filly is three years old, then she can have as many wins as she pleases, and still be eligible to run here.  Note that there are no qualifiers for the win totals (that is, no exceptions for maiden victories, or wins where the purse was less than a certain dollar amount). 

Our Favorite City was a winner at this class level last time out.  Candy Pink looks like the speed of the speed here, while Hub Cap could be the one running best late.  The "C" Selection are everyone else, as this is another that seems to be lacking a true standout. 

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1 with 3 with 3 with 1,7 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,6 with 1,3,5 with 3,4,5,9 with 1,2,7 $72.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,5,7 with 3 with 3 with 1,7 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 6 with 3 with 1,7 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 3 with 6,7,10 with 1,7 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 3 with 3 with 3,4,5,8 $2.00

Total: $83.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:18 EST / 3:18 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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