Sunday, November 5, 2017

11/5/17 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

The Breeders' Cup is over, but the horse racing goes on.  And of course I'm keeping my action at Del Mar to finish out the weekend; they've got my money!  So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at the Pick Four where the turf meets the surf.

RACE 6 - (F) MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 6 Sweet Connie (Morning Line 6-1)
# 8 Sasini (GB) (ML 5-2)

B's

# 7 Scandal (ML 3-1)

C's

# 4 Glory and Power (ML 6-1)
# 5 Malibu Model (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 3 Danuska's My Girl (ML 8-1)

Sweet Connie looks to have good tactical speed, and she could get a nice stalking trip here.  Sasini (GB) is stakes placed overseas.  Scandal certainly has the talent to win at this level; now it's just a question of if she wants to or not.

Glory and Power seems to have taken a step backwards last time out; perhaps she just needed that race.  Malibu Model could be the quickest in this field.

RACE 7 - Clm $16k N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 9 Make It a Triple (ML 2-1)

B’s

# 7 Go Ghetto (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Roosevelt (ML 4-1)
# 3 True Ranger (ML 12-1)

# 6 Lucky Patrick (ML 30-1)

Make It a Triple took the Place against classier foes last time out.  Go Ghetto goes first off the claim for Trainer Richard Baltas, who tends to do well with such.  Note also Baltas tends to be successful when turning back his runners from two turns to one.

Roosevelt tries winners for the first time after graduating rather easily in his first attempt in the claiming ranks.  True Ranger may have needed that last one.  Lucky Patrick may improve with the reduction in real estate.

RACE 8 - (F) OC 62.5k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 1 Jeremy's Legacy (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 7 Cordiality (ML 3-1)

B’s

# 4 Moonless Sky (ML 7-2)

C's

# 5 Bert's Melody (ML 8-1)

Jeremy's Legacy (Ire) soundly defeated Cordiality when these two engaged over this turf course back in August; but Cordiality did not have the best of trips that day, and appears to have the better current form.

Moonless Sky has disappointed in two of her last three starts as the Post Time Favorite.  Bert's Melody could be the quickest in this field.

RACE 9 - Md $20k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Second Gear (ML 6-1)

B's

# 8 Brilliant Light (ML 6-1)
# 9 Topgallant (ML 6-1)
# 10 Super Duper Cooper (ML 7-2)
# 12 Chin Tu (ML 6-1)

C's

# 7 Vow's Son (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 3 Kenzou's Empire (ML 8-1) and # 4 Wonderoveryonder (ML 30-1).  Don't bring in # 11 Bryan Habana (Arg) from the Also Eligibles, as he is scratched as well; but do bring in # 12 Chin Tu (ML 6-1).

Second Gear may be developing seconditis; but Second Gear sure looks qualified enough to win here.  Brilliant Light and Super Duper Cooper are two taking a serious drop down the class ladder.  Topgallant was about two lengths behind Second Gear at the wire last time out; but Topgallant may be best positioned late to take advantage if Second Gear decides to remain camera shy.

Chin Tu drops in class and stretches out for the first time; perhaps he'll enjoy the extra yardage.  Vow's Son took the Place at this class level in front of a next out winner two starts back.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6,8 with 9 with 1,7 with 1 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 6,7,8 with 7,9 with 1,4,7 with 1,8,9,10,12 $45.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 4,5 with 9 with 1,7 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6,8 with 1,3,6 with 1,7 with 1 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 6,8 with 9 with 5 with 1 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 6,8 with 9 with 1,7 with 7 $2.00

Total: $60.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EST / 3:00 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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