Sunday marks the end of the Fall meet at Golden Gate, meaning everything must go; and a big part of everything that is going is the carryover pool in the Jackpot Golden Pick six. Well, maybe not that big a part, as the pool going into Sunday is just $3,861; but that's what'll happen when your pool gets scooped the Friday before your closing Sunday. So with that as backdrop let's get to it, as I take another run at The Golden Pick Six at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 5 - Alw 12500s - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Broken Up (Morning Line 7-2)
# 8 Dixie Pistol (ML 10-1)
B’s
# 3 Monsajem Accrete (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Taelyns Prince (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 4 My Discretion (ML 20-1), # 7 Junior G Man (ML 20-1), and # 10 Sir Vronski (ML 4-1)
Note for future reference that, unlike many Starter Allowances run in California (like Race 10 below) this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry. So any runner that has started for a claiming price of $12.5k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Broken Up, a winner with a $40k price tag on his head last time out, has run well in the past over this turf course, and should have enough pace to chase in this contest. Dixie Pistol looks to be quickest here, and he could take this field all the way.
Monsajem Accrete, ambitiously placed last time out, should appreciate the class relief. Taelyns Prince could be running well late; but the rail draw means Taelyns Prince may have to fight through traffic to get to the line first.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k B - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 5 She Sang (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 4 Our Favorite City (ML 6-1)
# 9 Our Renee (ML 5-2)
This contest is restricted to fillies and mares four years old and upward which have never won two races OR fillies which are three years old. So if your distaff runner is four years old or older, then she must have fewer than two wins in her career. However, if your filly is three years old, then she can have as many wins as she pleases, and still be eligible to run here. Note that there are no qualifiers for the win totals (that is, no exceptions for maiden victories, or wins where the purse was less than a certain dollar amount).
She Sang, a three year old filly with four career victories in thirteen tries heading into Sunday. won by daylight under these conditions last time out. Our Favorite City, a three time winner in ten attempts, has failed as the Post Time Favorite in two of her last three starts; but Our Favorite City could be quickest early. Our Renee, a three year old with just one lifetime Win, is racing above her conditions here. Our Renee is talented enough where she could get her picture taken today; but she does not appear to have been well severed by being entered in this contest.
RACE 7 - (F) Miss America $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Lady Valeur (Ire) (ML 7-2)
B's
# 5 Kathy's Song (ML 4-1)
# 9 Central Heat (ML 8-1)
C's
# 8 Coachwhip (ML 20-1)
# 10 Dreamarcher (ML 5-1)
Lady Valeur (Ire) disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out, crossing under the wire a little more than three lengths behind Dreamarcher; but that was a contest moved off the turf. With Sunday's race being run on some California grass, Lady Veleur should regain her edge.
Kathy's Song ships in from downstate, and seems well meant here. Central Heat has run well in the past over this turf course. Coachwhip may be outclassed here; but seeing how Coachwhip had little trouble finding the Winner's Circle in each of his two prior career races, perhaps Coachwhip is something special.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 5 Sweet River Baines (ML 9-5)
B's
# 7 Brownie Finale (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Oil (ML 9-2)
# 6 Stellar Sea (ML 8-1)
# 9 Sunset Dragon (ML 10-1)
Sweet River Baines is the new shooter here, moving up in class after winning last time out with relative ease. Most of the rest of this field is the N1X Allowance class in this circuit that seems to just take turns finishing in front of each other. It's difficult to pick one from that group without using them all, as they are all pretty much evenly matched, as evidenced by their blanket finish in trying to grab the minor placings last time out. I landed on Brownie Finale as a "B" Selection because I like the angle of using a runner that won the duel but lost the race last time out; but, really, if you have the budget, just use them all.
RACE 9 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Gilded (ML 6-1)
# 8 Letmetakeaselfie (ML 15-1)
# 11 Annisquam (ML 12-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Well Caught (ML 5-2)
# 9 Sparkle Shine (ML 15-1)
# 10 Brookes All Mine (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 5 Winter's Nest (ML 10-1)
Gilded looked strong while winning by daylight over this turf course last time out. Letmetakeaselfie looked much improved coming off the freshening last time out. Annisquam could steal this one on the front end.
Well Caught ships in from downstate and gets some much needed class relief. Sparkly Shine could be the one running best late. Brookes All Mine took the Show against classier foes two starts back.
RACE 10 - Alw 40000s N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 6 Out At Eight (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Country Road (ML 9-2)
# 4 Twice as Fast (ML 5-1)
# 5 Royal Opera House (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 8 Hello Bourbon (ML 6-1)
C's
# 2 Divulge (ML 12-1)
# 3 Stocked (ML 6-1)
# 7 Many Moods (ML 8-1)
# 9 One Son of a Chief (ML 10-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and just one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 1 Country Road (ML 9-2) and # 9 One Son of a Chief (ML 10-1) are the only two runners in this field to have visited the winner's circle more than once.
Out At Eight and Twice as Fast filled out the bottom two slots in the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Country Road was much improved last time out with the cutback in distance; perhaps he can do it again.
Royal Opera House (Ire) could be well placed early with the addition of blinkers. Hello Bourbon, despite having never crossed under the wire first in his career, seems to fit well with the contenders here. The "C" Selections are everyone else because in my opinion this one looks to be very wide open.
OK, that's the analysis. Since this is a mandatory payout day, there are no concerns about having pressed up a single winning selection multiple times. So with all that, playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 5,8 with 5 with 3 with 5 with 6,8,11 with 6 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 3,5,8 with 5 with 3,5,9 with 5,7 with 6,8,11 with 1,4,5,6,8 $54.00
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1 with 5 with 3 with 5 with 6,8,11 with 6 $0.60
$0.20 P6: 5,8 with 4,9 with 3 with 5 with 6,8,11 with 6 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 5,8 with 5 with 8,10 with 5 with 6,8,11 with 6 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 5,8 with 5 with 3 with 3,6,9 with 6,8,11 with 6 $3.60
$0.20 P6: 5,8 with 5 with 3 with 5 with 1,9,10 with 6 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 5,8 with 5 with 3 with 5 with 6,8,11 with 2,3,7,9 $4.80
Total: $75.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 5:15 EDT / 2:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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