Saturday kicks off a three day holiday weekend in the US, and an unofficial beginning to Summer in the States. Hopefully it will also kick off a fun and exciting period for us all, along with a time of good fortune and good fun. The card in Arcadia is brimming with Graded Stakes, including a pair which have found their way into the final four contests on the program. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - The Charlie Whittingham (Grade 2) - Ten Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Itsinthepost (Fr) (Morning Line 6-5)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Flamboyant (Fr) (ML 4-1)
# 4 What a View (ML 6-1)
# 8 Syntax (Ire) (ML 4-1)
Scratch # 2 Full of Luck (Chi) (ML 12-1), who will be running in the Grade 1 Gold Cap at Santa Anita (Race 5) on the main track. Also scratch # 7 Ritzy A. P. (ML 20-1).
Itsinthepost (Fr) looks clearly best here, and if Itsinthepost runs his race Saturday, he wins. Flamboyant (Fr) and Syntax (Ire), both talented runners, will be trying yet again to get to the wire in front of Itsinthepost; perhaps today one or both of them will. What a View appears to be the quickest of this bunch, and will try to steal it on the front end.
RACE 7 - [S] MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Baby Grock (ML 6-5)
B's
# 2 Fashionably Fast (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Old Indian Trick (ML 8-1)
# 3 Cayate (ML 6-1)
# 5 Git On Your Pulpit (ML 6-1)
Baby Grock took the Place at this class level in each of his last two races. Fashionably Fast showed good form in his debut two starts back, and appears to have recovered from whatever caused him to be vanned off last time out.
Old Indian Trick took the Show in his debut last time out, five lengths behind Baby Grock; perhaps Old Indian Trick can make up the distance today. Cayate has shown the ability in the past to hit the board at this level; perhaps today Cayate can take the next step forward. Git On Your Pulpit might improve with the blinkers being added.
RACE 8 - (F) The Gamely (Grade 1) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Beau Recall (Ire) (ML 4-1)
# 7 Hawksmoor (Ire) (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Madam Dancealot (Ire) (ML 7-2)
# 3 Mopotism (ML 10-1)
C's
# 2 Midnight Crossing (Ire) (ML 10-1)
# 4 Sophie (GB) (ML 12-1)
# 8 Madame Stripes (Arg) (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 5 Uni (GB) (ML 3-1)
Beau Recall (Ire), winner of the Grade 2 Royal Heroine last time out, could improve with the increase in real estate. Hawksmoor (Ire) may be in the throes of a touch of seconditis; but Hawksmoor certainly fits here on class.
Madam Dancealot (Ire) could be the one running best late. Mopotism, the only North American bred in this field, is trying grass for the first time. Her breeding suggests that she'll handle the surface switch just fine.
The C Selections are everyone else. Uni (GB) was a clear standout here; and while I don't consider this a chaos race with Uni out of the picture, it is a contest that could produce an unexpected winner.
RACE 9 - Md $30k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Imagineiamfastest (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 North County Guy (ML 9-2)
# 2 Katzumoto (ML 6-1)
# 3 Livin On Prayer (ML 12-1)
# 5 Derby Factor (ML 50-1)
# 6 Catability (ML 20-1)
# 7 It's a New Year (ML 7-2)
# 8 Pioneerofthestorm (ML 6-1)
# 9 For a Good Cause (ML 12-1)
# 10 Flynn (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Imagineiamfastest found seven furlongs just a bit too far to run last time out, and could improve with the shortened distance. The "B's" are everyone else. No reason to get cute here, as this is a very competitive contest with over half the field being legitimate Win candidates.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 7 with 6,7 with 4 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2,7 with 1,3,6,7 with ALL $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,4,8 with 7 with 6,7 with 4 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 1,3,5 with 6,7 with 4 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 7 with 2,4,8 with 4 $1.50
Total: $49.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:14 EDT / 3:14 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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