Saturday, September 15, 2018

9/15/18 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

Speed seems to be the theme for Saturday's thoroughbred card in Northern California, as two of the final four contests on the program are scheduled to be run at a distance of just five furlongs.  So with that as our introduction let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 6 - (F) [S] MSW - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 3 Boomchicaboom (Morning Line 8-5)

B's

# 7 Rose Princess (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Joe's Passion (ML 5-2)
# 2 Check Out (ML 10-1)
# 4 Thunder Woman (ML 10-1)
# 5 Heavenly Holiday (ML 8-1)
# 6 Rouge Bouquet (ML 15-1)

Boomchicaboom didn't show much in her debut two starts back; but with the change of surface and the drop to Cal bred only company last time out, Boomchicaboom led most of the way and just missed graduation by less than a length.  Rose Princess is a debut runner who has been working well for this event.  Note that Rose Princess's broodmare, Heirloom Rose, has produced five winners from five starters.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 7 - (F) ALW N1X - Five Furlongs Turf

A's

# 2 Raiderette (ML 3-1)

B's

# 4 Bezzy (ML 9-2)
# 5 Cyrielle (ML 6-1)
# 10 Maycee Jo (ML 5-2)

C's

# 11 Unusually Stylish (ML 4-1)

Scratch # 1 Pattin for a Dance (ML 12-1) and # 6 Myangelcindy (ML 8-1)

Raiderette has been hanging around this class level for a while, picking up more than her fair share of minor awards.  But the return off the freshening, coupled with the sharp work on September 3, suggests that Raiderette will be ready to get her picture taken Saturday.

Bezzy looks like the one that will be running best late.  Cyrielle is two-for-two since being claimed by Trainer Jonathan Wong.  Maycee Jo returns from downstate and may appreciate the outside draw.  Unusually Stylish could move up going third off the layoff.

RACE 8 - Md $5k - Five Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 In for Lunch (ML 5-2)

B's

# 1 Cool Hunter (ML 8-5)
# 7 Lullaby's Orphan (ML 20-1)

C's

# 5 Rocking Chieftain (ML 20-1)
# 9 Shotgun Bandit (ML 8-1)
# 10 Live Piece (ML 9-2)

In for Lunch ran well in his debut last time before running out of gas in the stretch.  Cool Hunter has run well in the past when going around just one turn; though it's fair to wonder if Saturday's race is just to help get Cool Hunter back in shape after the extended layoff.  Lullaby's Orphan could improve with the drop in class.

Rocking Chieftain was able to get the Show last time out, though he was nowhere near the winner at the wire.  Shotgun Bandit could improve with the return to one turn racing.  Live Piece is a first time starter who could upset, as this field contains quite a few runners who have had more than their fair share of chances to graduate.

RACE 9 - Alw 50000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 7 Aztec Warrior (ML 2-1)

B’s

# 6 Six Cider (ML 10-1)
# 8 Topgallant (ML 4-1)

C's

# 1 Jack and I (ML 9-2)
# 2 You'll Be Lucky (ML 8-1)
# 3 Kid Arcade (ML 6-1)
# 4 Unlawful Act (ML 5-1)
# 5 Toro de Toro (ML 20-1)

Note for future reference that this contest is for runners which have not won two races in their career; excepting that entrants are given a bye for having one (and just one) victory for $20k or less not counted toward their lifetime total.  For the record, # 4 Unlawful Act; # 5 Toro de Toro; # 6 Six Cider; and # 7 Aztec Warrior are the runners in this field who have visited the Winner's Circle twice.

Aztec Warrior returns from downstate, dropping in class and cutting back in distance.  Six Cider could rebound going third off the layoff.  Topgallant goes first off the claim for Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3 with 2 with 4 with 7 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 2,4,5,10 with 1,4,7 with 6,7,8 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,2,4,5,6 with 2 with 4 with 7 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 11 with 4 with 7 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2 with 5,9,10 with 7 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2 with 4 with 1,2,3,4,5 $2.50

Total: $44.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:45 EDT / 3:45 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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