Happy Labor Day / Labour Day to all those in the US and Canada, respectively. Viewed as the traditional end of the Summer season, Monday is most definitely the end of the Summer Del Mar meet; and with that end comes the running of the Grade 1 Del Mar Futurity. I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 7 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Flagstaff (Morning Line 3-1)
# 8 Show Me Da Lute (ML 7-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Major Cabbie (ML 4-1)
# 6 Lord Guinness (ML 5-1)
# 9 King Cause (ML 10-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 11 Super Sol (ML 7-2); # 12 Solid Wager (ML 4-1); and # 13 Rapid Red (ML 6-1)
Flagstaff missed victory at this class level by less than a length last time out, and could improve with the stretch out to two turns. Show Me Da Lute took the Show at this class level last time out, and on Monday will be going third off the long layoff.
Major Cabbie will try to duplicate his effort from last time out, where he graduated by riding the rail to an easy victory. Lord Guinness is another trying winners for the first time after graduating by daylight last time out. King Cause could move up with the class relief.
RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Colonial Creed (ML 5-2)
B's
# 8 Natural Born Singer (ML 5-1)
# 9 My Sweet Baboo (ML 6-1)
# 10 Rayana (ML 7-2)
C's
# 4 Unbridled Huntress (ML 12-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 11 Flying Blue (ML 20-1); # 12 Barbadolla (ML 3-1); # 13 Friars Walk (Ire) (ML 8-1); # 14 Bellazano (ML 20-1)
Colonial Creed took the Place at this class level in her debut last time out. Natural Born Singer is out of a Unbridled's Song mare and has Distorted Humor as a grandsire; so the breeding is there to support both the stretch out to two turns and the move to the lawn.
My Sweet Baboo and Rayana are a pair of first time starters that will be ridden by Flavien Prat and Drayden Van Dyke, respectively. As those two are perhaps the best turf riders in the Southern California jockey colony, it's fair to presume that these two fillies will be ready to go at first asking. Unbridled Huntress is a first time starter from Trainer Mick Ruis, whose debut runners tend to perform well; however, the breaks in Unbridled Huntress' workout regimen is a concern.
RACE 9 - The Del Mar Futurity (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Roadster (ML 6-5)
# 7 Game Winner (ML 4-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Sparky Ville (ML 20-1)
# 2 Rowayton (ML 3-1)
# 5 Spin Lightning (ML 6-1)
# 6 Sigalert (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 4 Savagery (ML 15-1)
Roadster, trained by Bob Baffert, looks to be a solid Favorite here, and probably should be a single. However, I decided that it was worth it to double the cost of the big ticket by also including Game Winner, because I don't want Monday to be yet another day where I got beat by the "other" Baffert runner. Also take note that Game Winner was the quicker of the two in their most recent workout.
The backup "C" Selections are everyone else, because these are juveniles, so there's no telling who may have had a large growth spurt since they last ran. Besides, this is only a field of six.
RACE 10 - [S] MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Push Through (ML 7-2)
B's
# 1 Reckless Gravity (ML 15-1)
# 2 Nevermissabeat (ML 5-1)
# 3 Cool Your Jets (ML 5-1)
# 4 Ostini (ML 12-1)
# 5 Highlight Show (ML 15-1)
# 7 The Hunted (ML 6-1)
# 8 According to Buddy (ML 20-1)
# 10 Sir Eddie (ML 9-2)
# 11 Achieved (ML 20-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 9 Satrapa (ML 6-1)
All right; everybody into the pool for this one. If by the grace of the Almighty I happen to still be in the game when the nightcap rolls around, I don't want to lose on the final day of the meet because I couldn't sort out which California bred juvenile was finally going to figure out that they weren't being put on the grass so that they would have something to snack on. So the "ALL" button it is for the finale of the day, the holiday weekend, and the Summer meet.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 7,8 with 5 with 3,7 with 6 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 7,8 with 5,8,9,10 with 3,7 with ALL $80.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,6,9 with 5 with 3,7 with 6 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 7,8 with 4 with 3,7 with 6 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 7,8 with 5 with 1,2,5,6 with 6 $4.00
Total: $93.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:05 EDT / 5:05 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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