9/2/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Preview

The Grade 2 Del Mar Derby is the featured race Sunday in Southern California, as three year olds go two turns around the Jimmy Durante Turf Course.  I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 7 - (F) [S] MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Sneaking Out (Morning Line 5-2)

B's

# 6 Mz Brown (ML 3-1)

C's

# 3 Violette Szabo (ML 12-1)
# 4 Faithful One (ML 8-1)
# 7 Summer Rose (ML 5-1)
# 9 Gotta Be Lucky (ML 7-2)

Scratch the Also Eligible, # 11 Blueberry Princess (ML 8-1)

Sneaking Out took the Place at this class level in her debut last time out.  Mz Brown and Gotta Be Lucky filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta at this class level last time out behind a next out winner; but while Gotta Be Lucky finished ahead of Mz Brown in that event, I think Mz Brown is the one more likely to improve, as Mz Brown will be adding blinkers while making her second career start.

Violette Szabo and Summer Rose are two first time starters from the barn of Trainer Phil D'Amato, whose runners tend to do well at first asking.  Faithful One is a first time starter trained by Billy Morey, who is having a fine meet.  Note that Morey is also the trainer of Mz Brown.

RACE 8 - The Del Mar Derby (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 River Boyne (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 8 Ride a Comet (ML 7-2)

B's

# 1 Epical (ML 20-1)
# 2 Desert Stone (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 11 Majestic Eagle (ML 15-1)

C's

# 4 Restrainedvengence (ML 20-1)
# 5 Arawak (ML 8-1)
# 6 Pubilius Syrus (ML 8-1)
# 7 Andesh (Ire) (ML 15-1)
# 9 Take the One O One (ML 8-1)
# 10 Kazan (Ire) (ML 12-1)
# 12 Animosity (ML 20-1)

River Boyne (Ire) enters this event having won five of his last six contests, including the Grade 3 La Jolla over this turf course last time out.  Ride a Comet took the Show in the Grade 2 Hall of Fame at Saratoga last time out.

Majestic Eagle and Epical filled out the Exacta in an Optional Claiming contest over this turf course at today's distance last time out.  Desert Stone (Ire) closed well in the Oceanside after stumbling at the start last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - Clm $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Eighty Three (ML 8-1)

B’s

# 3 Tough But Nice (ML 3-1)
# 5 Ninety Nine Proof (ML 7-2)

C's

# 6 Papa Turf (ML 8-1)
# 7 Bow and Arrow (ML 6-1)

# 9 Colormemoney (ML 12-1)

Eighty Three was victorious at this class level two starts back, and Eighty Three could improve with the reduction in real estate.  Tough But Nice goes third off the layoff for Trainer Hector Palma after wiring the field against more expensive stock last time out.  Ninety Nine Proof goes first off the claim for Trainer Doug O'Neill, who tends to do well with such.

Papa Turf seems to be just a step too slow for several of these; but Papa Turf could move up going third off the freshening.  Bow and Arrow took the Place behind Ninety Nine Proof last time out.  Colormemoney might be quick enough to get himself into perfect position to pounce from the far outside post.

RACE 10 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 1 Toshio (ML 8-1)

B's

# 5 Alleva (ML 7-2)

# 6 More Ice (ML 8-1)

# 8 Omaha Beach (ML 5-2)

# 10 Fortnite Dance (ML 6-1)

C's

# 2 Lead Star (ML 6-1)
# 3 R B Eye (ML 20-1)
# 4 Tanker (ML 6-1)
# 7 Yak (ML 12-1)
# 9 Royal Insider (ML 20-1)

Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 11 Flying Scotsman (ML 4-1); # 12 Absolute Control (ML 20-1); # 13 Data Hawk (ML 10-1); # 14 Seven Scents (ML 10-1)

Toshio is a first time starter for Trainer Phil D'Amato who looks ready to roll.  Alleva took the Place at this class level over this turf course last time out.  More Ice is trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, whose runners tend to move up when trying the grass for the second time.

Omaha Beach is a first time starter for Trainer Richard Mandella; and while debut runners for Richard Mandella often need a race before visiting the Winner's Circle, the work that Omaha Beach had over the main track on August 3 suggests that he could get the job done today.  Fortnite Dance's breeding suggests that he'll do well with the surface switch.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1 with 3,8 with 4 with 1 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,6 with 1,2,3,8,11 with 3,4,5 with 1,5,6,8,10 $75.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 3,4,7,9 with 3,8 with 4 with 1 $4.00

$0.50 P4: 1 with 4,5,6,7,9,10,12 with 4 with 1 $3.50

$0.50 P4: 1 with 3,8 with 6,7,9 with 1 $3.00

$0.50 P4: 1 with 3,8 with 4 with 2,3,4,7,9 $5.00

Total: $92.50

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:05 EDT / 5:05 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo