It's closing day for the Summer meet at Golden Gate Fields, so everything must go, including the $29k currently sitting in the Jackpot Pick Six pool. So with that as backdrop let's get to it, as I take a run at The Golden Pick Six at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2L - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 I Love Romance (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
# 7 Night of Idiots (ML 7-5)
C's
# 1 I'm Not Fancy (ML 8-1)
# 2 Well Spoken Lady (ML 12-1)
# 3 Golden Sale (ML 6-1)
# 4 Warrior Mom (ML 20-1)
# 5 Rossmoor Way (ML 20-1)
# 6 Amba (ML 10-1)
Note that this is a genuine N2L, as all entrants have visited the Winner's Circle just once in their respective careers; with the exception of Warrior Mom, who is still a Maiden, with a career record of zero for twelve.
I Love Romance took the Place at this class level last time out, albeit on the synthetic main track. Night of Idiots could improve with the cutback in distance. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 5 King Atahualpa (ML 9-5)
B's
# 2 Tribal War Chant (ML 8-1)
C's
# 1 Awesome Ain't Easy (ML 6-1)
# 3 Unbridled's Skye (ML 15-1)
# 4 Midnight in Maui (ML 15-1)
# 6 Punaluu (ML 7-2)
# 7 Beer Slinger (ML 15-1)
# 8 Legendary Night (ML 3-1)
King Atahualpa took the Place at this class level last time out in his debut. Tribal War Chant has been working well over this main track, suggesting that his effort in his debut at Del Mar last time out is not indicative of his true talent level. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Tap Fever (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Shot of a Lifetime (ML 6-1)
# 2 King Eddie (ML 5-2)
# 3 Write Me a Song (ML 10-1)
# 8 Crownethorp (ML 9-5)
C's
# 4 I'm an Eight (ML 10-1)
# 5 Zucchini (ML 20-1)
# 6 Pepperino (ML 20-1)
Like Race 6 above this is pure N2L contest, in that all runners have gotten their picture taken after a race just once in their careers.
Tap Fever drops in for a tag for the first time in his career, and Tap Fever looks classy enough to handle this level of competition. Crownethorp and Shot of a Lifetime have filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level in each of their last two tries. In a separate contest, King Eddie and Write Me a Song filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level in a sprint over the main track. The rest of the field comprise the backup "C" Selections.
RACE 9 - Clm $20k N2X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Squidward (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 6 Junior G Man (ML 9-2)
# 10 One Son of a Chief (ML 20-1)
C's
# 2 Manila Mischief (ML 10-1)
# 3 Kawara (Brz) (ML 7-2)
# 4 Monsajem Pervade (ML 10-1)
# 5 It's The Ice (GB) (ML 8-1)
# 7 Tiz Titus (ML 6-1)
# 8 Uninvited (ML 20-1)
# 9 Journey to Run (ML 10-1)
For some reason, my Past Performances give this as an N2L rather than an N2X. But as can be seen by looking at the entrants career Win totals, or glancing at the full conditions, this is actually an N2X, as Maiden, Claiming, and Starter Races for $16k or less are not considered when computing runners' Win totals. So the N2L may have been a typo.
If Squidward is healthy, he wins here easily. But there is concern here, as Squidward is returning from a thirteen month vacation only to be dropped in for a tag for the first time in his career. You have to figure that Squidward isn't currently as good as he once was; otherwise his connections wouldn't be offering him for sale. But the question is, just how good does Squidward have to be to win here? It's a tough call, but I think Squidward is good enough to stand a reasonable chance of winning today.
Junior G Man and One Son of a Chief filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 10 - (F) Clm $6.25k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Private Terrace (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 7 Euphemistic (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Life No Parole (ML 20-1)
# 2 Flika (ML 15-1)
# 3 Warrens Lil Margie (ML 8-1)
# 4 Warrens Goldnugget (ML 9-2)
# 5 Reverchon (ML 12-1)
# 8 Sparkle Shine (ML 4-1)
# 9 Sunset City (ML 20-1)
Private Terrace was victorious at this class level over this turf course at this distance last time out. Euphemistic took the Show against classier stock last time out, and Euphemistic could improve with the cutback in distance. Everyone else is on board as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 11 - Clm $4k B - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 8 Invertigo (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Mimis Big Boy (ML 8-1)
# 5 Sizzling Eddie (ML 6-5)
C's
# 1 Gurnick (ML 4-1)
# 3 Underwrite (ML 30-1)
# 4 Sojourn (ML 15-1)
# 6 Pocket Prince (ML 10-1)
# 7 Papa Pagosa (ML 15-1)
This contest is restricted to runners which have either:
1) Not won a race since July 1, 2018; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
So as long as a runner has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race. If a horse has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come since the end of June (note that Claiming and Starter Races for $3.5k or less don't count when computing the Win totals). For the record Sojourn and Papa Pagosa are the only two runners in this field with fewer than four career Wins.
Invertigo took the Show against more expensive stock last time out. Mimis Big Boy took the Place at this class level last time out. Sizzling Eddie is getting significant class relief. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 8 with 5 with 7 with 1 with 6 with 8 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 7,8 with 2,5 with 1,2,3,7,8 with 1,6,10 with 6,7 with 2,5,8 $72.00
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,2,3,4,5,6 with 5 with 7 with 1 with 6 with 8 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 8 with 1,3,4,6,7,8 with 7 with 1 with 6 with 8 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 8 with 5 with 4,5,6 with 1 with 6 with 8 $0.60
$0.20 P6: 8 with 5 with 7 with 2,3,4,5,7,8,9 with 6 with 8 $1.40
$0.20 P6: 8 with 5 with 7 with 1 with 1,2,3,4,5,8,9 with 8 $1.40
$0.20 P6: 8 with 5 with 7 with 1 with 6 with 1,3,4,6,7 $1.00
Total: $79.80
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:01 EDT / 4:01 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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