RACE 6 - (F) Clm $40k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Belle Et Bete (Ire) Morning Line 6-1)
# 8 Doodetta (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 6 Vanlose Stairway (ML 5-1)
# 7 Bottle Blonde (GB) (ML 7-2)
# 9 Augustina de Aragon (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Analog Girl (ML 15-1)
# 10 Summer Lady (ML 20-1)
# 11 Native Heart (ML 20-1)
Belle Et Bete (Ire), trained by Phil D'Amato, defeated more expensive stock two starts back. Doodetta drops in for a tag for the first time in her career. Both Belle Et Bete and Doodetta seem to be advantaged by the probable pace shape of this race, as it looks as if it all could collapse late.
Vanlose Stairway defeated N1X Optional Claimers two starts back. Bottle Blonde took the Show against more expensive last time out. Augustina de Aragon won at this class level two starts back.
Analog Girl could be the speed of the speed here. While that's not as important on grass as it is on dirt, it could be a factor if no one challenges her early. I expect several runners to be up on the lead during the opening stages of this contest; but if Analog Girl breaks loose without burning herself out, she could get her picture taken today.
Summer Lady is trying grass for the first time. The breeding is there and her trainer, Steve Miyadi, does quite well with first time turfers. Native Heart gets some much needed class relief here.
RACE 7 - (F) The La Canada (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Yahilwa (ML 5-2)
# 7 Taris (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Illuminant (ML 8-1)
# 3 Oscar Party (ML 20-1)
# 6 Birdatthewire (ML 3-1)
# 1 Tara's Tango (ML 4-1) and # 4 Honey Ride (ML 12-1) have been scratched.
Yahilwa and Taris are the two best horses in this contest, and they can be expected to go at each other as soon as the gates open. Yahilwa has the home field advantage, and Taris' best efforts have been around just one turn. For those reasons, if I had to pick one over the other I would go with Yahilwa; but, fortunately, I don't have to pick one over the other.
Illuminant was sired by Quality Road, who won multiple Graded Stakes on the dirt; so if Illuminant's turf form should carry over, she could upset here. Birdatthewire has been showing steady improvement and could get there late if the two favorites battle each other into the ground. Oscar Party is on the ticket because history has shown that using all but one of the runners in any given leg of a multi-race wager is not conducive to getting a good night's sleep.
RACE 8 - (F) OC 40k/C - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 7 Perdona (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 1 Dreamologist (ML 3-1)
# 2 Hard Night's Day (ML 7-2)
C's
# 5 Entrechat (ML 7-2)
# 10 Sea Mona (ML 15-1)
# 11 Demonica (ML 8-1)
Rather than list all the conditions, I'll just note that all twelve entrants in this contest have one career Win apiece except for the California bred Demonica, who has two. Also note that none of the twelve entrants will be running with the $40k price tag on their head.
Perdona took the Show at this approximate class level last time out. Perdona has shown good early speed in the past when routing on the flat turf, a trait which is often shown by runners who perform well when they first try charging down the hill.
Dreamologist took the Show at this class level last time out, and, like Perdona, has shown good early speed when routing on the flats. Hard Night's Day graduated last time out charging down the hill.
Entrechat returns from an extended vacation after having disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of her prior three races. Sea Mona seems to settle for too many minor awards; but she certainly fits at this class level. Demonica was showing a steadily improving form before she went on the shelf; perhaps Demonica can pick up where she left off.
RACE 9 - (F) Md $30k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Sharpest One (ML 6-1)
B's
# 10 Old Hollywood (ML 7-2)
# 11 Two Steps of Glory (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Evening Again (ML 12-1)
# 8 B K Miss (ML 30-1)
# 12 Death Valley Girl (ML 15-1)
# 9 Avaudrey (ML 6-1) has been scratched.
Sharpest One drops in for a tag for the first time in her career. Old Hollywood took the Place at this class level last time out. Two Steps of Glory has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of her last three starts; taking the Place at this class level each time. But note that Two Steps of Glory's margin of defeat in those three contests decreased with each try.
Evening Again showed good early speed in her debut last time out. B K Miss showed an ability to rate in her debut two starts back; perhaps she can do that again today. Death Valley Girl gave a quality effort in her debut, and the sharp workout that she turned in her last time on the track suggests that she could return to that form.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,8 with 5,7 with 7 with 4 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,6,7,8,9 with 5,7 with 1,2,7 with 4,10,11 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5,10,11 with 5,7 with 7 with 4 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,8 with 2,3,6 with 7 with 4 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,8 with 5,7 with 5,10,11 with 4 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 2,8 with 5,7 with 7 with 2,8,12 $6.00
Total: $67.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:03 EST / 3:03 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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