Saturday, January 30, 2016

1/30/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

The spotlight shines on state breds today, as it's California Cup Day at Santa Anita.  Two of the stakes have made their way into the latter portion of the card; we'll be looking at them below as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 7 - [S] (F) The Sunshine Millions Filly & Mare Turf Sprint $150k - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 3 Smoove It (Morning Line 6-1)
# 7 Velvet Mesquite (ML 7-2)

B's

# 4 Chati's On Top (ML 5-1)
# 8 Singing Kitty (ML 5-1)
# 11 Qiaona (ML 8-1)

C's

None

# 1 Yana (ML 30-1), # 2 My Fiona (ML 20-1), and # 6 Sheer Pleasure (ML 8-1) have been scratched.  Bring in # 13 Nite Delite (ML 12-1) and # 14 Princess Bertrando (ML 30-1) off the Also Eligible List.

Smoove It misses by just a neck of being victorious each of the last three times that she charged down the hill.  Velvet Mesquite should appreciate the class relief.  Chati's On Top won the last time that she competed in a stakes restricted to state bred only.

Singing Kitty was a stakes winner three starts back against open company.  Qiaona has been successful of late against open company.  

RACE 8 - [S] OC 20k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 W. Giles (ML 4-1)

B’s

None

C's

# 8 Alpine Luck (ML 8-1)
# 9 Pray Hard (ML 7-2)

# 6 One More Roll (ML 6-1) has been scratched.

W. Giles wired the field at this class level last time out, and looks likely to do it again.  Alpine Luck tries to make it two in a row, but may not be quick enough to keep up with W. Giles early.  Pray Hard won at this class level two starts back, but for different connections.

RACE 9 - [S] The California Cup Turf Classic $250k - Nine Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 5 Alert Bay (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 1 Tamarando (ML 20-1)
# 2 G. G. Ryder (ML 4-1)
# 3 Unusually Green (ML 20-1)
# 9 Somethings Unusual (ML 12-1)
# 10 Poshsky (ML 9-2)

C's

None

# 13 Cowboy (ML 50-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List.

Alert Bay won this contest last year, and is the clear class of this field.  Tamarando closed well against Graded Stakes company on the synthetic surface upstate last time out, and could improve with the freshening.  G. G. Ryder was just a nose behind Alert Bay at the wire two starts back, G. G. Ryder's most recent turf start.

Unusually Green was a winner the last time that he competed against state bred company, and could be the one running best late.  Somethings Unusual defeated open company each of the last two times that he raced on the grass.  Poshky won the Grade 3 Berkeley on the synthetics upstate two starts back, and defeated open company on the turf three starts back.

RACE 10 - [S] (F) MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Desperate Chick (ML 5-2)
# 8 Who Said Lucky (ML 7-2)

B's

# 4 Dancing Sunset (ML 12-1)
# 10 Ready to Hula Lula (ML 4-1)

C's

# 2 Malibu Rum Run (ML 12-1)

Desperate Chick showed good early speed while taking the Place in her debut last time out.  Who Said Lucky has taken the Place at this class level in each of her last two starts.

Dancing Sunset missed graduating at this class level by just a neck two starts back.  Ready to Hula Lula is a first time starter who has been working well over this main track.  Malibu Rum Run didn't show much in her debut back in July; but she's had a nice freshening, and Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer does quite well with maidens making their second career start.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3,7 with 1 with 5 with 7,8 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,4,7,8,11 with 1 with 1,2,3,5,9,10 with 4,7,8,10 $60.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 8,9 with 5 with 7,8 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 1 with 5 with 2 $1.00

Total: $69.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 6:03 EST / 3:03 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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