Saturday, January 23, 2016

1/23/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

If you're somewhere in the eastern portion of the United States that's being hit by the current snow storm, I hope that you're warm and safe and in possession of all the provisions you need.  The featured race on today's card at Santa Anita is the Grade 2 Santa Monica; we'll be taking a look at it below as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 6 - [S] OC 20k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 9 It Is Living Water (Morning Line 5-2)

B’s

# 11 Johns Journey (ML 12-1)

C's

# 2 Wade (ML 5-1)
# 6 Odin (ML 8-1)

# 13 Eleven Zip (ML 12-1) and # 14 Luckbox Sam (ML 12-1) do not draw in off the Also Eligible List.

It Is Living Water goes first off the claim for Trainer Peter Miller, who does exceptionally well in that category.  It Is Living Water has finished in the Trifecta each of the last five times that he has competed against state-bred only company.

Johns Journey returns from a three month freshening and could steal this one on the front end.  Wade tries winners and grass for the first time.  Wade's dirt form is sharp, and Trainer Peter Eurton does very well placing his last out winners; but the surface switch is a concern.  Odin's lone career win came charging down the hill; but Odin did not look sharp in his last three outings, and may need a race off the layoff.

RACE 7 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Avanti Bello (ML 5-1)

B’s

# 5 Logan's Moon (ML 8-1)
# 8 Wolf Rocket Man (ML 5-2)

C's

# 6 Doyouknowsomething (ML 12-1)
# 7 J Serino (ML 8-1)

# 11 Oligarch (No Line) is a program scratch.

Avanti Bello took the Show at this class level last time out, and could improve with the cutback in distance.  Logan's Moon and Wolf Rocket Man both disappointed last time out in the same contest when neither did very much running.  Perhaps they both just needed a race to get back to their prior form.

Doyouknowsomething has been showing steady improvement, and fired that nice bullet work back on the 9th; but he may be just a half-step below the top contenders here.  J Serino fits at this class level, though he seems to settle for too many minor awards.

RACE 8 - (F) The Santa Monica (Grade 2) - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Room for Me (ML 3-1)
# 7 Living The Life (Ire) (ML 6-1)

B's

# 2 Ben's Duchess (ML 5-2)

C's

# 1 Prize Exhibit (GB) (ML 4-1)

Room for Me is a lifetime three-for-four over this main track and looks to be in peak condition.  Living the Life (Ire) is a Graded Stakes winner on the synthetic; and since Living The Life has been working well over this main track, she may carry that form with her.

Ben's Duchess won the Grade 3 LA Woman two starts back over this main track.  Prize Exhibit (GB) is on the wrong surface; but Prize Exhibit is a multiple Graded Stakes winner on the grass, and these aren't exactly world beaters.

RACE 9 - [S] MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 8 Lymebyrd (ML 4-1)
# 12 True Brilliance (ML 3-1)

B's

# 1 Etailer (ML 6-1)
# 4 Woodie B Awesome (ML 20-1)
# 9 Reliable Source (ML 4-1)

C's

# 7 Sudden Sam (ML 6-1)
# 10 Tribal Fighter (ML 8-1)

# 11 Awesome Journey (NL) is a program scratch.

Lymebyrd, True Brilliance, Etailer, and Reliable Source have all finished in the money at this class level in all seven of their combined career starts.  Woodie B Awesome showed good early speed in his debut last time out, and Trainer Gary Sherlock has had some success with runners making their second career start.  Sudden Sam and Tribal Fighter are a pair of first time starters sired by Tribal Rule, whose progeny tend to do well in their debuts.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 9 with 1 with 6,7 with 8,12 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 9,11 with 1,5,8 with 2,6,7 with 1,4,8,9,12 $45.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,6 with 1 with 6,7 with 8,12 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 9 with 6,7 with 6,7 with 8,12 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 9 with 1 with 1 with 8,12 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 9 with 1 with 6,7 with 7,10 $2.00

Total: $60.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:03 EST / 3:03 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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