RACE 6 - The Sham (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 I'malreadythere (Morning Line 5-1)
# 9 Collected (ML 3-1)
B's
# 4 Found Money (ML 6-1)
# 6 Laoban (ML 15-1)
C's
# 3 Let's Meet in Rio (ML 6-1)
# 2 Dressed in Hermes (ML 7-2) has been scratched.
I'malreadythere, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer and ridden by Rafael Bejarano, has twice hit the board in Graded Stakes. Collected, trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by Martin Garcia, shows enough dirt in his pedigree that his form should carry over onto the main track.
Found Money, trained by Doug O'Neill, is two-for-two over this main track. It looked like Jockey Mario Gutierrez was able to get Found Money to rate last time out on his way to winning The King Glorious. If Gutierrez can get Found Money to sit just off the lead again today, then he should be in the mix at the wire.
Laoban and Let's Meet in Rio exit the same maiden contest. Let's Meet in Rio was the one that graduated, but Laoban was the one that did all the heavy lifting. Laoban could also be the one leading the pack early in today's event.
RACE 7 - OC 62k/N2X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Motown Men (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 3 Ground Rules (ML 7-2)
# 4 Highway Boss (ML 12-1)
# 6 Follow Me Crev (ML 8-1)
# 8 Verraco (ML 15-1)
# 9 Just Kidding (ML 12-1)
C's
None
# 1 Melatonin (No Line), # 12 Fooled Again (NL), and # 13 Slim Shady (GB) (NL) are all program scratches.
Motown Men drops in class after taking the Show in two of his last three races against stakes competition. The last time Motown Men ran at this class level he won for fun. The bullet work Motown Men turned in over this main track on 12/26 suggests that he's ready to roll off the layoff.
Ground Rules missed the Winner's Circle by just a neck the last time that he competed at this class level. Highway Boss is three-for-five in his career over this main track, and was less than a length away from the winner at the wire at this approximate class level last time out.
Follow Me Crev moves up the class ladder, but the Beyer Speed Figure that he earned while winning last time out is the best last out Beyer in this field. Verraco is a lifetime three-for-three over this main track. Just Kidding has been in the Trifecta in each of his last two starts, both at this approximate class level.
RACE 8 - The San Pasqual (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 California Chrome (ML 4-5)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Alfa Bird (ML 20-1)
# 5 Hoppertunity (ML 5-2)
# 6 Hard Aces (ML 8-1)
# 7 Mystery Train (Arg) (ML 30-1) has been scratched.
From here California Chrome most likely goes onto The Dubai World Cup; after that, perhaps they move him to the turf, which they were planning to do last Summer. As for today, if California Chrome runs his race, he wins. If not, perhaps nobody catches Alfa Bird as he rides the rail to an upset win.
The last time Hoppertunity won was the 2015 running of this event. The last time Hard Aces won was last June, when he stuck his nose in front of Hoppertunity's at the wire in the Grade 1 Used to be Hollywood Gold Cup. If either of these horses were to run to their true potential then they could be visiting the Winner's Circle today. But while that's possible, it's not very likely.
RACE 9 - Clm $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Love de Car (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 6 Justonemorething (ML 5-1)
# 13 Razorbill (ML 5-1)
# 14 Gnarly Dude (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Shame On Alex (ML 6-1)
# 8 Where's My Voucher (ML 20-1)
# 10 Okaad (NL) is a program scratch.
Love de Car drops in for the lowest tag of his career, after taking the Place against more expensive last time out. Justonemorething and Gnarly Dude exit the same contest where they completed the back half of the Superfecta against more expensive. Razorbill won for fun at this class level last time out; but Razorbill will be facing more than double the number of opponents today than he competed against in that race.
Shame on Alex returns to action after a vacation of about four and a half months. Shame on Alex's work tab is a little light; but he has won right off the bench before. Where's My Voucher defeated more expensive up north three starts back.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 7,9 with 2 with 4 with 4 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,6,7,9 with 2,3,4,6,8,9 with 4 with 4,6,13,14 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2 with 4 with 4 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 7,9 with 2 with 1,5,6 with 4 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 7,9 with 2 with 4 with 2,8 $2.00
Total: $55.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:03 EST / 3:03 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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